Information operations · Information Warfare · Iran

Iran Escalation (49)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

Iran’s President Rouhani  is spewing when he says the confrontation between the US and Iran will bring the “Mother of all wars”.  Unfortunately for Iran, predictions hold that Iran will last as long as did Iraq’s then-President Saddam Hussein in 1991, when he called for the “Mother of all battles“, Um al-Mar’rik.  The attack on Iraq lasted 100 hours before being called off, there was almost no response.  

I would so love to be a planner on this operation as I was before and during the invasion of Afghanistan while working at SOCCENT.  I learned so much more than I ever thought possible. This operation will have a sea and air attack/defend aspect which complicates things, but as in dominos, things are taken one step at a time. The really neat thing is that almost no US movements have been revealed, other than one squadron of F-22s.  The OPSEC is being well executed, the F-22 movement was purposefully well advertised.

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A lot of inflammatory rhetoric from Tehran, now escalated to the “Mother of All Wars” – if the“Mother of All Wars”is to be a bigger media spectacle than the “Mother of All Battles”, then we can expect Iran to collapse under a deluge of PGMs a lot faster than Saddam did almost three decades ago …..

IRGC Navy baits the USN. Tehran MoD presents new PGMs, all of which look remarkably similar to a number of known Chinese PGMs.

UK joins US coalition to protect shipping.

Miscellaneous analyses and OpEds.


Iranian President Warns: A War With Tehran Would be the ‘Mother of All Wars’ – Sputnik International

The statement comes amid increasing tensions between Washington and Iran, as US President Donald Trump authorised sanctions in June on officials associated with Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei. The decision was followed by the US slapping sanctions on Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif.

Iran warns Britain against ‘mother of all wars’ over naval patrols in Strait of Hormuz | World | The Times

President Rouhani warned that conflict with Iran would be “the mother of all wars” as Tehran further raised tensions in the Persian Gulf by agreeing to joint naval patrols with Russia. Tehran has signed a military deal with Moscow that will see the two countries’ navies hold joint military exercises

War with Iran is the mother of all wars, Rouhani says – The National

He again warned that shipping could not be safe in the Strait of Hormuz

Iran news: President Hassan Rouhani warns of ‘mother of all wars’ | World | News | Express.co.uk

IRAN has sent a thinly-veilled warning to Britain and the US saying they risk “the mother of all wars” as an Anglo-American task force begins to patrol the Straits of Hormuz to protect the free movement of oil tankers.

‘Americans Have Always Been the Ultimate Losers in Encounters With IRGC Navy’ – Iranian Admiral – Sputnik International

On Monday, London announced that it would be joining the US-led maritime mission in the Persian Gulf, in spite of the UK’s earlier promises to forge ahead with a ‘European-led’ security coalition instead.

Iran unveils three new ‘precision guided missiles’ and warns of the ‘mother of all wars’ | Daily Mail Online

Iran’s defence ministry unveiled what it described as three precision guided air-to-air missiles on Tuesday, after President Hassan Rouhani warned of the ‘mother of all wars’ if the country is attacked.

Iran unveiled new air-to-air missiles Tuesday amid tensions with the US and says it proves that the country ‘will not hesitate for a moment to defend [itself]’
Among the new weapons was the Balaban missile, which Iran said could be fired from an aircraft before being guided to its target using GPS and other sensors
The Yasin missile (top right) was described by Tehran as another new air-to-air weapon which could be fired from a drone and guided to its target
Iran’s defence ministry also unveiled an updated version of the heat-seeking Ghaem missile (bottom) that was accurate to within 50cm, military chiefs claimed

Britain, U.S. to Protect Shipping Through Strait of Hormuz From Iranian Threats – WSJ

The British government said the decision came after London struggled to build a European maritime coalition to safeguard ships in the region.

UK joining US-led mission in Strait of Hormuz | TheHill

Great Britain will reportedly join the U.S.-led mission to police the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz against perceived Iranian aggression.

British first to join Pentagon plan for anti-Iran Persian Gulf armada – Washington Times

The United Kingdom announced on Monday it is joining the Pentagon’s proposed joint mission to protect vessels traveling through the Persian Gulf amid soaring tensions with Iran.

UK to form maritime coalition with the US in the Gulf amid growing tensions with Iran

Britain will form a maritime coalition in the Gulf with the United States in order to protect international shipping amid growing tensions with Iran, the Government has announced.

UK joins United States for maritime security mission in Gulf – Reuters

Britain on Monday joined the United States in a maritime security mission in the Gulf to protect merchant vessels travelling through the Strait of Hormuz after Iran seized a British-flagged vessel.

UK joins US in mission to protect oil tankers in Gulf | UK news | The Guardian

Britain shifts away from plans of European-led mission proposed by former foreign secretary

Iraq denies ties to tanker seized by Iran for ‘oil smuggling’, as Tehran warns of further action in the Gulf | The Independent

Iraq has denied any connection to an oil tanker seized by Iran for allegedly smuggling fuel, in the latest escalation of a diplomatic crisis gripping the Gulf. It is the third foreign tanker that Iranian forces have detained in less than a month near to or in the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

Britain and U.S. will join forces to protect international shipping from Iran in Strait of Hormuz | Daily Mail Online

Defence Minister Ben Wallace has said the UK will work with the United States to find an ‘international solution to the problems in the Strait of Hormuz.’

UK Agrees to Join US-Led Anti-Iran Mission in Gulf as Germany Wants European Coalition – Sputnik International

The statement comes shortly after Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif told reporters on Monday that the US, which is “alone in the world” had failed to create an allied naval coalition in the Persian Gulf.

Washington urges Australia to ‘be partner’ in confronting Iran in Gulf standoff — RT World News

The US is seeking to pull Australia into its escalating row with Tehran, with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo requesting Canberra’s help to secure shipping routes against “unprovoked attacks” in the Strait of Hormuz.

No help from Australia yet for Persian Gulf shipping: ministers

Alongside Foreign Minister Marise Payne and Defence Minister Linda Reynolds, Mr Pompeo said the time was right for the US and Australia to do much more in the region.

Australia considering United States request to join coalition to protect oil shipments in the Persian Gulf – ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

Defence Minister Linda Reynolds confirms Australia is considering a serious and complex request from the United States to help protect oil shipments against Iranian interference in the Persian Gulf.

US’ ‘Declining Influence’ Under Trump Precludes Anti-Iran Naval Coalition in Persian Gulf – Sputnik International

Germany’s refusal to join the US-led naval coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz underscores how the Land of the Free is losing its influence on foreign nations, Mohammad Marandi, an expert on American studies and postcolonial literature who teaches at the University of Tehran, told Sputnik.

US struggles to build willing coalition amid Hormuz tensions

The United States is struggling to piece together an international coalition to protect cargo ships travelling through the Strait of Hormuz, with allies concerned about being dragged into conflict with Iran. Tensions have risen in the Gulf since the United States decided in May 2018 to withdraw from

Iran welcomes neighbors leaving B-Team: Zarif – Mehr News Agency

TEHRAN, Aug. 05 (MNA) – Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said Mon. that B-team is shrinking in members, adding that Iran welcomes neighboring countries leaving the team of ‘wickedness’.

Britain Steps Up To Protect Oil Tankers In The Gulf | OilPrice.com

The United Kingdom will join the United States in protecting oil tankers in the Persian Gulf after a series of recent incidents disrupted oil flows through the Gulf and the narrow Strait of Hormuz

Iran Seizes Third Foreign Tanker in Persian Gulf in Less Than a Month

Iran in recent days captured the third foreign tanker in the Persian Gulf in less than a month, Iranian state media reported over the weekend.

Iran Seizes Iraqi Vessel In The Gulf | OilPrice.com

The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said Sunday it had seized an Iraqi boat carrying 700,000 liters of fuel the Iranian army said was being smuggled

Iraqi Oil Ministry Says Has No Ties To Oil Tanker Seized By Iran | TOLOnews

Iraq’s oil ministry said on Sunday it has no connection with an oil tanker seized by Iran in the Gulf for smuggling fuel, Iraqi News Agency reported.

Would China sanction Iran to stop an Israeli attack? – analysis – Middle East – Jerusalem Post

China may continue to send oil to Iran even once it goes beyond 20% uranium enrichment

Appeasing Iran Will Fail | The National Interest

If the United States is not willing to countenance Iran and its aims, it will have to respond forcefully to the latter’s provocations.

Iran’s Threat to Saudi Critical Infrastructure: The Implications of U.S.-Iranian Escalation | Center for Strategic and International Studies

Tensions between Iran and the United States have heightened concerns about the threat to critical infrastructure in the Persian Gulf, including in Saudi Arabia. This report argues that while Saudi Arabia has vulnerabilities in its oil, desalination, electricity, SCADA, shipping, and other systems, Iran has thus far adopted a calibrated approach. Tehran has conducted irregular attacks to infrastructure using offensive cyber weapons, naval ships to impede oil tankers, and partners like the Houthis in Yemen. The United States should focus on deterring further Iranian escalation, refraining from actions that threaten the regime’s survival, and providing a political “off ramp” for Iran to de-escalate.