Information operations · Information Warfare · Iran

Iran Escalation (23)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

Two quick notes:

  • I love our anonymous author’s phraseology: tirade of toxic trash 
  • Washington Examiner’s Tom Rogan
    • We should expect the next Iranian action to be more aggressive than last week’s downing of a U.S. drone. After all, the hard-liners are under immense pressure to make something happen. Iran’s economy is imploding, and with it the primary means of exporting the revolution abroad. The hard-liners control nearly half of Iran’s economy, and they thus have every personal and professional motive to get rid of U.S. sanctions. Not tomorrow, not a week from now, but right now. The centrality of Iranian hard-liner patronage networks to the regime’s stability cannot be discounted here. In turn, the hard-liners’ always brewing penchant for aggression is now overflowing.

This morning I had a conversation with an ex-pat Iranian.  ‘Without a doubt, Iran cannot back off, they must appear aggressive.  That is not Islam, that is their “fetid” culture.”  

Iran will kill itself before looking less than ‘in charge’.  Suicide is not an option for the Iranian leadership, it is a mandate.

</end editorial>



A tirade of toxic trash and threats from Tehran after sanctions announced on the Supreme Leader and IRGC. Much of the Tehran invective borders on the bizarre, or is plainly insulting, indicating that the sanctions were well targeted.

POTUS effectively abandons the late 1970s Carter Doctrine of treating the flow of oil from the Gulf as a vital national interest matter for the US – there is more than meets the eye here, as his tweet states that China gets 91% of its POL from suppliers in the Gulf, including Iran, therefore POTUS is sending Iran’s biggest supporter a message to discourage Tehran from starting a war in the Gulf.

UK media inflating Iran’s IADS capability, as they have done previously with Saddam’s capabilities, and more recently, Russian capabilities. Two batteries of S-300PMU2 / SA-20B, some S-200VE / SA-5B, and a gaggle of cloned SM-1 and 9K317 / SA-17, and lots of Chinese HQ-2 (S-75 / SA-2 clones) maketh not a world class state-of-the-art IADS. Rogan points out what much of the media are missing, which is that Iran will move again having been piqued and embarrassed. The prospects are strong that having failed to provoke a war by shooting down a Global Hawk, they will try to kill something more valuable, possibly manned, to elicit the desired response.

Four conservative commentaries on the toxic media barrage against POTUS over his failure to act predictably and kill 150 IRGC missileers – the TDS label fits this week. And finally, the usual dose of toxic commentaries.


Iranian president says White House is ‘suffering mental disability’ over sanctions – CNNPolitics

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani says the White House is “suffering from mental disability” and behaving as “no sane person,” in the wake of new sanctions imposed by President Donald Trump earlier this week which an Iranian spokesman said have closed the “channel of diplomacy forever.”

Iran’s president says the White House is ‘afflicted by mental retardation’ – NZ Herald

Iran’s president said the White House is ‘afflicted by mental retardation’.

Trump news – live: Latest updates as Iran hits out at ‘mentally retarded’ US sanctions | The Independent

Iranian president Hassan Rouhani has hit out at the “hard-hitting” sanctions ​introduced by the Donald Trump administration on Monday against the country’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei, calling the action “mentally retarded” in a live TV address.

Iran calls new US sanctions ‘outrageous and idiotic’ – The Boston Globe

Officials said the measures spell the ‘‘permanent closure’’ for diplomacy between the two nations.

Iran says U.S. sanctions on Khamenei mean end of diplomacy – Reuters

New U.S. sanctions against Iran’s supreme leader and foreign minister have closed off diplomacy, Iran said on Tuesday, blaming the United States for abandoning the only route to peace just days after the two foes came within minutes of conflict.

Iran: US sanctions mean ‘closing channel of diplomacy forever’ – Al Arabiya English

Iran said on Tuesday that a US decision to impose sanctions on the countryrsquo;s supreme leader and other top officials permanently closed the path

Iran says latest US sanctions ends ‘channel of diplomacy forever’ | Fox News

A spokesman for Iran’s Foreign Ministry said in a tweet Tuesday that the new U.S. sanctions that target Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other Iranian officials permanently end any chance of diplomacy between countries.

Iran Sees No Way for Dialogue With US as Long as Sanctions in Place – Ambassador Ravanchi – Sputnik International

UNITED NATIONS (Sputnik) – Iran will not engage in a dialogue with the United States as long as it threatens the Islamic Republic with sanctions pressure, Iran’s Ambassador to the United Nations Majid Takht Ravanchi said at a press stakeout.

Iran Says Donald Trump’s Middle East Policy Is All About Selling Weapons, Sending More Troops

Iran’s U.N. envoy said new sanctions were “yet another indication that the U.S. has no respect for international law and order as well as the views of the overwhelming majority of the international

Iran Minister says Trump allies are thirsty for war | World | News | Express.co.uk

IRAN’S Foreign Minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, has launched a Twitter attack on close allies of Trump following new US sanctions on Iran.

Iranian official warns more US spy drones can be blown out of the sky | Fox News

An Iranian military official said Monday that Tehran is capable of shooting down more American spy drones as tensions between the two countries continue to simmer, according to a report out of the country.

Iran responds to new U.S. sanctions with threat to shoot down drones – YouTube

CBC News: The National Published on Jun 24, 2019 U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing fresh sanctions on Iran as the country threatens to shoot down more American drones.

Iran says maps ‘PROVE £100m US drone flew into its airspace before being shot down’… but US brands claims as ‘false’

MAJID Takht Ravanchi, Iran’s UN ambassador, revealed radar images on Monday that allegedly show an aircraft passing into Iranian territory last week. But acting US  ambassador to the UN Jonathan Cohen rubbished the claims.

Zarif: Netanyahu, Bolton, Gulf leaders ‘thirst for war’ between Iran and US | The Times of Israel

Islamic Republic’s foreign minister targeted with fresh sanctions, along with its supreme leader, Khamenei

Trump’s New Sanctions On Iran Target Supreme Leader

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing “hard-hitting” sanctions on Iran, including on the office of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, amid growing concerns the two …

Trump levels sanctions against Iran, with a warning

Trump and his top foreign policy aides hope to pressure Iran’s leaders to limit their nuclear program and to ramp down both military activity and support for militants in the Mideast.

Trump Goes After Iran’s Supreme Leader – Defense One

Having pulled back from a strike on Iran, the White House is trying sanctions on Ali Khamenei.

Trump announces ‘hard hitting’ new sanctions against Iran – CNNPolitics

President Donald Trump announced new sanctions against Iran Monday in part to retaliate after the downing of a US drone last week, with the punitive measures targeting Iran’s most senior leader, military officials and its top diplomat, Foreign Minister Javad Zarif.

New US Sanctions Target Iran’s Supreme Leader, Military Brass | Military.com

President Donald Trump slapped the sanctions on Tehran for what he described as its “aggressive behavior.”

POLITICO Playbook PM: Trump puts new sanctions on Iran – POLITICO

And the Supreme Court limits access to government records.

Trump signs executive order delivering ‘hard-hitting’ sanctions against Iran | Fox News

President Trump struck back Monday at Iran by issuing “hard-hitting” financial sanctions against Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his associates.

Trump Imposes Sanctions on Iran’s Supreme Leader – YouTube

Bloomberg Politics Published on Jun 24, 2019 Jun.24 — President Donald Trump said he’s imposing sanctions on Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and his office. Trump says he won’t let the country acquire a nuclear weapon.

Latest US Sanctions Target Iran’s Supreme Leader – YouTube

VOA News Published on Jun 25, 2019 After pulling back from a strike on Iran, U.S. President Donald Trump signed a new round of sanctions targeting the country’s leadership. U.S. officials say the administration will negotiate with Iran with no preconditions to end the escalating tension. Meanwhile Tehran has hinted willingness to negotiate, if the U.S. would lift sanctions. White House Correspondent Patsy Widakuswara has the latest. Originally published at – https://morigin.voanews.eu/a/4972619….

Donald Trump to Iran: No Nuclear Weapons and Stop Sponsoring Terror

President Donald Trump set demands for Iran Monday as the rogue nation continues to challenge the United States.

Donald J. Trump on Twitter: “China gets 91% of its Oil from the Straight, Japan 62%, & many other countries likewise. So why are we protecting the shipping lanes for other countries (many years) for zero compensation. All of these countries should be protecting their own ships on what has always been….”

 

Donald J. Trump on Twitter: “….a dangerous journey. We don’t even need to be there in that the U.S. has just become (by far) the largest producer of Energy anywhere in the world! The U.S. request for Iran is very simple – No Nuclear Weapons and No Further Sponsoring of Terror!”

 

Trump Calls On Countries to Protect Own Ships in Strait of Hormuz – WSJ

President Trump called upon countries to protect their own ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz and questioned why the U.S. has provided such protection for years “for zero compensation.”

Trump questions need for U.S. to protect international shipping in Strait of Hormuz

Oil importing nations like China and Japan should be protecting their own ships in the Strait of Hormuz, according to President Trump, who questioned the U.S. military’s presence in the region to safeguard oil-shipping routes.

Trump suggests other countries should pay the U.S. for protecting tankers | PBS NewsHour

The U.S. has blamed Iran for attacks on two oil tankers this month near the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump complains the U.S. gets ‘zero compensation’ for protecting shipping lanes | Daily Mail Online

President Donald Trump complained about the cost of protecting shipping lanes in the Middle East and said the U.S. didn’t even ‘need to be there’ days after pulling back from a strike on Iran.

EXCLUSIVE: Trump: I do not need congressional approval to strike Iran | TheHill

President Trump told Hill.TV in an exclusive interview Monday that he does not need congressional approval to strike Iran.

US struck Iranian military computers this week

Operations targeting critical infrastructure by U.S. Cyber Command demonstrate the U.S.’s increasingly mature cyber military capabilities and its more aggressive cyber strategy under the Trump administration.

Iran Says News Of Oil Reduced Exports is “Absolutely Wrong” | OilPrice.com

Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh is denying media reports that have depicted Iran’s oil exports as declining in the face of US sanctions, but did not offer alternate figures

Filling Iran oil gap in India: U.S. supplies outshine Middle East crude

A surge in India's oil imports from the United States outpaced growth in shipments from its traditional suppliers in the Middle East, after Washington imposed sanctions on Tehran in November, according to tanker arrival data obtained from sources. U.S. President Donald Trump's administration

UN Security Council condemns attacks on oil tankers, but not Iran | Fox News

A closed-door meeting of the United Nations Security Council Monday afternoon on the recent attacks on oil tankers and a U.S. drone ended without a condemnation of Iran.

With fate of Iran nuke deal up in air, remaining parties to convene Friday – Middle East – Jerusalem Post

Analysts skeptical that 2015 accord can be salvaged without US backing

Iran: Mike Pompeo arrives in Saudi Arabia as Iran threatens US drones

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo arrived in Saudi Arabia for talks ahead of a planned announcement of new economic sanctions targeting Iran.

Iran air defence missiles must be taken seriously: experts | Daily Mail Online

The shooting down last week of a sophisticated US drone by an Iranian missile demonstrates that Tehran’s air defence capabilities can pose a challenge to US air superiority, experts say. The Global Hawk, an advanced US navy surveillance drone, was flying at high altitude — it can reach 60,000 feet (18 kilometres) — early Friday local time when it was struck by a ground-to-air missile by Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards. “The shooting down of the drone shows Iran is revealing a capability and choosing to message it to the United States,” said Becca Wasser, an analyst at Rand Corp. “The fact that Iran was able to shoot down the drone demonstrates that they have developed or purchased fairly significant capabilities and are skilled at employing these systems.” Wasser noted an Iranian claim that it had used a home-made surface-to-air missile (SAM) system to shoot down the drone. “If true, this would be significant because it is a domestically produced capability that Iran could replicate and potentially provide to proxy groups throughout the region to threaten US and partner militaries,” she told AFP. According to the Military Balance — an annual publication by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) — Iran has 32 batteries of Russian-made S-300 ground-to-air missiles that have been delivered by Moscow since 2016. They are seen as posing a serious threat. The Islamic Republic has also developed Iranian versions of these missile systems, including the Bavar 373, SAM Tabas and SAM Raad which are regularly displayed at military parades.

US Iran: what shooting down a $110 mn drone tells us about Iran’s military – CNN

While America’s military is by no means threatened in the long term by Iran, instances like the downing of the drone show that Tehran can sometimes have an outsized effect with narrowly-focused efforts, and is an adversary certainly capable of keeping its opponents off balance.

Tom Rogan | Trump imposes new sanctions, but he must prepare for Iran’s next test

New U.S. sanctions targeting Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei will fuel tensions with the Islamic Republic. While good strategy, the sanctions nearly guarantee that Iran will act soon to test President Trump’s resolve. Announced on Monday, the sanctions target Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps financial activities and Khamenei’s funding of the inner sanctum. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin added that new sanctions later this week will target Foreign Minister Javad Zarif. Still, it is the personal nature of the sanctions on Khamenei that will unleash the hard-liners’ greatest wrath. To the hard-liners, Khamenei isn’t just Iran’s top leader, he is the literal incarnation of the Islamic Republic’s ordained mission: the “miracle of God” (the translation of “Ayatollah” from Arabic) and service of Allah’s moral will on Earth. These sanctions will thus be construed as an American attack on the regime’s existence. For that reason and in furtherance of the effort to weaken the existing U.S. sanctions regime, we can expect the hard-liners to lash out in short order. They will want to test whether Trump might reduce that pressure if confronted with the prospect of a military showdown. We should expect the next Iranian action to be more aggressive than last week’s downing of a U.S. drone. After all, the hard-liners are under immense pressure to make something happen. Iran’s economy is imploding, and with it the primary means of exporting the revolution abroad. The hard-liners control nearly half of Iran’s economy, and they thus have every personal and professional motive to get rid of U.S. sanctions. Not tomorrow, not a week from now, but right now. The centrality of Iranian hard-liner patronage networks to the regime’s stability cannot be discounted here. In turn, the hard-liners’ always brewing penchant for aggression is now overflowing. Trump must recognize this threat.

Poll: Voters back Trump decision to nix Iran strike – POLITICO

Just over a third of voters support military action in Iran after the Iranians shot down an unmanned U.S. drone aircraft, the poll found.

Winning ugly? Media hit Trump style over Iran, but sometimes it works | Fox News

Does Trump preside over a messy and sometimes chaotic process? Of course. But sometimes that style gets results.

Chicago Boyz » Blog Archive » Iran’s RQ-4N Shoot Down, Pres. Trump and the Expiration of the Carter Doctrine

Posted by Trent Telenko on June 24th, 2019 (All posts by Trent Telenko) It’s become something of a regular occurrence for the American mainstream media to blow a foreign policy story because of their Trump Derangement Syndrome. Yet they seem to have greatly sunk to new lows in missing the real importance of events leading to the 19 June 2019 Iranian shoot down of an American drone.

Trump Trolls Washington Foreign Policy Establishment | The American Conservative

In a move sure to flummox the warmongers and national security elite, Trump proposes a “Make Iran Great Again” plan.

Trump: War President or Anti-Interventionist?

Pat Buchanan: Visualizing 150 Iranian dead from a missile strike that he .06/25/2019 7:18:42AM EST.

We’re all on the tarmac, waiting for an Iran policy | TheHill

The President’s advisors seem bitterly divided on what to do about Iran.

Trump’s Iran Sanctions Won’t Make Any Difference, Former Ambassador Hill Says – YouTube

Bloomberg Politics Published on Jun 24, 2019 Jun.24 — Christopher Hill, former U.S. ambassador to Iraq and South Korea, comments on President Donald Trump imposing sanctions on Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and his office. He speaks with Bloomberg’s David Westin on “Balance of Power.”

What to make of US cyber activities in Iran

Experts told Fifth Domain that a cyberattack in Iran signals that U.S. leaders are becoming increasingly comfortable with cyberwarfare and, in some cases, now view cyber operations as a half-step removed from a kinetic conflict.

Trump Sanctions Iran’s Supreme Leader, but to What End? | The New Yorker

Robin Wright writes about the new sanctions Donald Trump imposed on Iran, and what they say about the President’s Administration’s view of Ayatollah Khameini and his regime.

The Gulf state that might get Israel and Iran talking – Opinion – Israel News | Haaretz.com

Despite the risks of war between the U.S. and Iran, a narrow diplomatic opportunity exists. But it is not between Washington and Tehran, but rather between Jerusalem and Tehran

Unpick all the lies Trump has told about Iran and you get to the narcissistic truth | The Independent

President Trump made the right decision in not launching a military strike against Iran that could have quickly led to war, but he arrived at this decision showing all of the egotism, ignorance and disorganization that has characterized the last two and a half years. Now the stakes are higher and there is nothing about his made-for-television moment recalling bombers in the

Trump Says He Has Right to Initiate Military Action Without Congressional Approval | Newsmax.com

President Donald Trump believes he has the right to initiate military action against Iran without approval from Congress, a statement made hours after he signed an executive order imposing hard-hitting sanctions on Tehran…

Trump’s Manufactured Crisis in Iran | The National Interest

Trump administration officials say they don’t want war, but they are doing everything they can create circumstances that would lead to further escalation.

US and Iran conflict: Australia has an especially acute problem if they go to war

Australia might be far from the Middle East but it will be vulnerable if there’s combat in the Persian Gulf.

President Trump’s Full, Unedited Interview With Meet The Press | NBC News – YouTube

NBC News Published on Jun 23, 2019 President Donald Trump sat down for an exclusive interview with Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd on Friday, June 21st, 2019.» Subscribe to NBC News: http://nbcnews.to/SubscribeToNBC » Watch more NBC video: http://bit.ly/MoreNBCNews