Information operations · Information Warfare · Iran

Iran Escalation (15)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

</end editorial>



A lot of bluster and bluff – and threats coming out of Tehran. Ill considered attempts to negotiate by Germany and Japan. New Khordad-15 / Sayyad-2 SAM system that appears to be a reverse engineered RIM-66 from Shah era stock.

The regime has repeatedly refused to negotiate with the US.


Iran rolls out another medium-range SAM | Jane’s 360

Iran has continued to increase the confusion surrounding its air defence programmes by announcing that another medium-range surface-to-air missile (SAM) called the Sayyad-2 has gone into production. The Sayyad-2 was first mentioned in April 2011, when the Iranian media reported that it had been tested and indicated it was an upgrade of the Sayyad (or Sayad, meaning hunter in Persian), which is the Iranian version of the HQ-2 (the Chinese version of the Russian S-75). In August 2013 Brigadier General Farzad Esmaili, the commander of the Iranian air defence force, announced that Sayyad-2 missiles had been used with Iran’s S-200 system. While this suggested the Sayyad-2 was a new long-range SAM, Gen Esmaili indicated that it was an additional, rather than replacement missile. “We could enhance [the S-200’s] capabilities to cover mid-altitude threats by changing the structure and protocol of the S-200 system and using Sayyad-2 missiles,” he told journalists in October. When the Sayyad-2 was unveiled for the first time in a 9 November ceremony, it became clear that it uses the airframe of the RIM-66 (SM-1) naval SAM that Iran acquired from the United States in the 1970s.

UAWire – Iran unveils new air defense system

On June 9 Iranian Defense Minister Amir Khatami presented a new and a modern air defense system Khordad-15 made in Iran, reports the Iranian news agency Tasnim. The system can hit various targets with Sayyad-3 missiles. “The system can detect up to six different targets at the same time, including military aircraft and drones in a 150 kilometers range and track them at a distance of 120 kilometers,” the report said. It is noted that the system is designed to destroy enemy targets at an altitude of 27 km and within a radius of 75 km. According to the Iranian Minister, the new system can also detect invisible targets within a radius of 85 kilometers and hit them within a range of 45 kilometers. With its high degree of mobility, the Khordad-15 can be deployed and ready for action in five minutes.

The new red line on Iran will fail | TheHill

There is still time to resolve this escalating crisis with diplomacy rather than military force.

U.S. says Iran is in breach of nuclear deal but repeats offer of talks – Reuters

The United States said on Tuesday that Iran’s work with advanced centrifuges is a breach of the nuclear deal Washington has already pulled out of, expressing its concern while repeating that it is open to holding talks with Tehran.

U.S. Commander Weighs an Expanded Mideast Force to Counter Iran – WSJ

The commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East said he may recommend a return to a larger U.S. military presence in the area after concluding that a recent build up there helped curtail Iranian threats.

Iran was at high level of military readiness; now U.S. trying to gauge what is ‘the new normal’

Gen. Frank McKenzie, commander of the U.S. Central Command, said he has seen a sea change in the visible threat from Iran since the U.S. moved an aircraft carrier and weapons to the region.

Iran has accelerated enrichment of uranium, says UN watchdog | Iran News | Al Jazeera

IAEA chief declines to quantify increase in Iran’s nuclear enrichment activity, calls for dialogue to reduce tensions.

Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif: the U.S. ‘cannot expect to stay safe’

“Whoever starts a war with us will not be the one who finishes it,” said Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran’s foreign minister.

Top Iran Diplomat Warns US it Cannot ‘expect to Stay Safe’ | Newsmax.com

Iran’s foreign minister warned the U.S. on Monday that it “cannot expect to stay safe” after launching what he described as an economic war against Tehran, taking a hard-line stance amid a visit by Germany’s top diplomat seeking to defuse tensions. A stern-faced Mohammad Javad Zarif offered a series of threats over the ongoing tensions gripping the Persian Gulf. The crisis takes root in President Donald Trump’s decision over a year ago to withdraw America from Iran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers. Trump also reinstated tough sanctions on Iran, targeting its oil sector. “Mr. Trump himself has announced that the U.S. has launched an economic war against Iran,” Zarif said. “The only solution for reducing tensions in this region is stopping that economic war.” Zarif also warned: “Whoever starts a war with us will not be the one who finishes it.”

US allies’ sad Tehran wild-goose chase

America’s allies are lining up to mediate between Washington and the Tehran regime. But they’re jumping the gun. Witness Japan’s President Shinzo Abe, who…

Iran’s foreign minister warns against war with his country | Fox News

Shinzo Abe’s Latest Diplomatic Long Shot: Peacemaking in Iran – The New York Times

Japan’s prime minister arrives Wednesday in Tehran, placing himself directly in the middle of a tense confrontation between the United States and Iran.

System to circumvent US sanctions on Iran ready soon: German FM | News | Al Jazeera

European payment system nearly operational in key development to salvage Iran nuclear pact with world powers.

Germany Calls for De-escalation of ‘Explosive’ Iran-US Tensions | Newsmax.com

Confrontation between Washington and Tehran is now “explosive” and could lead to military escalation, Germany’s foreign minister said on Monday, becoming the most senior Western official to visit Iran since a war of words erupted last month. Iran accused the United States of waging economic war by reimposing and extending sanctions. Nevertheless, it reassured Germany’s Heiko Maas that it still wants to work with European powers to salvage a deal to curb its nuclear program in return for lifting sanctions, which Washington abandoned a year ago. European countries have found themselves caught in the middle as the United States and Iran have taken increasingly aggressive postures in recent weeks.

Germany looks to ‘lead’ US-Iran talks

European powers hope to broker a new round of negotiations between the United States and Iran in a bid to prevent the collapse of the 2015 nuclear deal, Germany’s top diplomat said Saturday.

German minister to meet Iran’s Rouhani in bid to save nuclear pact – Reuters

Germany’s foreign minister will meet Iranian President Hassan Rouhani in Tehran on Monday, a German diplomatic source said, as part of a concerted European effort to preserve Iran’s nuclear pact with world powers and defuse rising U.S.-Iranian tensions.

Iran urges Europe to normalize economic ties with it or face consequences – Reuters

Iran said on Sunday Europe was in no position to criticize Tehran for its military capabilities and it called on European leaders to normalize trade ties with the Islamic Republic despite U.S. sanctions, or face consequences.

Germany’s Maas: Europe will stick to Iran’s nuclear deal, but cannot work miracles

Britain, France and Germany are committed to stick to their commitments from Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said on Monday, adding that it was important to keep on talking to avoid a military escalation. “We want to fulfil our obligations,” Maas

Iran says new US sanctions show Trump’s offer to talk ‘hollow’ | Iran News | Al Jazeera

Tehran says fresh US sanctions on its petrochemical industry show Washington’s offer of talks is not genuine.

New U.S. sanctions show offer of talks with Iran not genuine: Foreign Ministry – Reuters

Additional sanctions imposed on Iran by the United States show that Washington’s offer of talks is not genuine, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Abbas Mousavi said on Saturday.

Iran took “step back” from attacking Americans in the Middle East, says general – Vox

Marine Gen. Kenneth “Frank” McKenzie says Iran recently took a “step back” from supposed plans to kill US troops, diplomats, and citizens.

Top military commander: Iranian threat is ‘imminent’

The top commander for military forces in the Middle East says an attack from Iran or its affiliates could come at any time.

US hits Iran with new sanctions; petrochemicals targeted – ABC News

Get breaking national and world news, broadcast video coverage, and exclusive interviews. Find the top news online at ABC news.

Iran blasts new US sanctions: Offer of talks ‘hollow’ | TheHill

Iranian officials took aim at the Trump administration on Saturday following new U.S. sanctions targeting the country’s Revolutionary Guard.

Iran has increased production of enriched uranium – IAEA – BBC News

The international watchdog confirms a rise, but says it is not clear when Iran will exceed 2015 limit.

Iran revokes New York Times reporter’s credentials – POLITICO

The paper said Iran’s Foreign Ministry has “offered no explanation” for why the credentials were revoked.

Iran revokes New York Times correspondent’s accreditation | USA News | Al Jazeera

US newspaper goes public over four-month-old decision amid ‘speculation on social media’ over Iran coverage.

Secretary Pompeo on Twitter: “Maximum pressure on #Iran’s regime continues today. @USTreasury imposed sanctions on Iran’s petrochemical sector, which funds the IRGC. The U.S. will deny the regime the money it needs to destabilize the Middle East. https://t.co/mUL5rYKYsM”

 

Treasury targets Iran’s most profitable oil refiners with new sanctions

The Treasury Department imposed broad sanctions Friday on Iran’s petrochemical and refinery industry for contributing funds to the financial arm of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, which the State Department recently named a terrorist organization.

Iran will only talk JCPOA as US hits with new sanctions – The National

Iran said they would only talk about the 2015 deal and rejected claims it was developing ballistic missiles to carry nuclear warheads

CENTCOM Commander: Military Action in Persian Gulf Caused Iranians to Back up ‘a Little Bit’ – Al-Manar TV Lebanon

U.S. Imposes Sanctions On Iranian Oil Giant With Links To Revolutionary Guards

The U.S. Treasury Department has announced sanctions against Iran’s Persian Gulf Petrochemical Industries Company (PGPIC), as part of a series of moves to pressure Tehran to negotiate a new agreeme…

U.S. Sanctions Iran’s Biggest Chemical Firm Over Military Ties – Bloomberg

The Trump administration announced sanctions against Iran’s largest petrochemical company on Friday as part of an effort to choke off resources to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an elite wing of the country’s military that the U.S. named a terrorist organization earlier this year.

‘The Threat Is Very Real’: U.S. Commander Warns Iran Is Still a Danger, Doesn’t Rule Out Sending More Troops

A top U.S. commander suggested that Washington’s tough stance had prevented an attack.

UAE accuses ‘state actor’ for tanker attacks, but stops just short of Iran | Fox News

The United Arab Emirates stopped just short of blatantly blaming Iran for “sabotage attacks” on four tankers off its coast on May 12, but told the UN Security Council in a closed meeting this week that a “state actor” was almost the orchestrator.

How to Navigate the Fog of War on Iran – Defense One

The question of how to read U.S. intelligence on Iranian threats—and how to respond to them—is at the center of a debate over military escalation.

26 wounded in missile attack by Houthi rebels at Saudi airport: report | Fox News

The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen says 26 people have been wounded in a missile attack on an airport that was carried out by Yemen’s Houthi rebels

Iran pulls press credential for NY Times reporter | TheHill

Iranian authorities have pulled the press credential for a Tehran-based New York Times reporter and denied him access for four months,

Iran Says It Will Release U.S. Resident Charged With Spying – The New York Times

Nizar Zakka, arrested in 2015 and convicted of spying for the United States, was to be released to Lebanese authorities, according to Iran’s semiofficial Fars news agency.

Iran releases U.S. permanent resident Nizar Zakka, lawyer says

A Lebanese man with U.S. residency who has been imprisoned in Iran since 2015 was released Tuesday, according to his lawyer.

Lebanese Man Freed by Iran Says He Shared Cell Space With American – The New York Times

The freed man, Nizar Zakka, who has lived in the United States for most of his life, said he and other foreign prisoners are political pawns.

Iran agrees to hand over detained US resident to Lebanon, officials say | Fox News

Iran has agreed to hand over a U.S. permanent resident imprisoned for years in Tehran to Lebanese officials, an Iranian judiciary official said Tuesday, providing the first official confirmation that Nizar Zakka would be sent back to his native Lebanon.

Shanahan appears to break with Trump over arms sale emergency declaration – CNNPolitics

Acting Secretary of Defense Patrick Shanahan said Tuesday that he prefers to always “follow the process” for approval when it comes to foreign arms sales, comments that appear to put him at odds with the Trump administration’s decision to declare an emergency to expedite arms sales to Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.

Trump arms sales to Saudis unlikely to be blocked by Congress – POLITICO

But he’s still likely to face a bipartisan rebuke in the Senate.

Study Ranks Afghanistan As World’s Least Peaceful Country, Points To ‘De-Escalation’ In Ukraine

According to a new study, the world became “very slightly” more peaceful for the first time in five years, but remains “considerably less peaceful now” than a decade ago due to conflicts in the Mid…