Information operations · Information Warfare · Russia · Ukraine

Official: Ukraine plans another naval foray into Sea of Azov

FILE – In this Nov. 25, 2018 file photo, damage can be seen to one of three Ukrainian ships seized by Russia during a naval incident near the annexed Crimean Peninsula. A top official from Ukraine has told the BBC in remarks posted on Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2018, that the country plans to again send its warships into the Sea of Azov, a move that could set the stage for another clash with Russia. (AP Photo, File)

This may well be the ultimate information operation by Ukraine. 

It should another win-win situation for Ukraine and could be, as well, for Russia. 

Ukraine is clearly sending a message to Russia. “We have free right of passage through the Kerch Straits into the Sea of Azov and back and there is nothing you can legally do to stop it.”  

There are many different ways to ensure safe passage in and out of the Sea of Azov. 

  • Include a very heavy press contingent on Ukraine vessels
  • Very publicly include NATO, UN, or, perhaps, OSCE officials on a boat. 
  • Include a NATO warship as part of the small group of ships entering and exiting the Kerch Straits. 
  • Include a NATO, UN, or OSCE helicopter

Advertise the heck out of the “freedom of navigation tour” and make sure Russia loses face for not being able to “defend” their bridge if they do not cooperate.  Make it about publicity. Make it about information. Make it public, make it loud.

Russia can even save face and state ‘this is how it should be done’.  Then Russia should release all the hostages, er, POWs, um, criminals, as a show of good faith. 

The first indicator that Russia is going to cooperate is how they respond to this statement.  If they say it’s a provocation, they are not cooperating and Russia should be clearly shown as, once again, a rogue nation.

Russia is being offered the rare opportunity to look good on the world stage.  Let’s see if they accept the olive branch or if they go full-tilt rogue.

Do it before Christmas, it could be a great Christmas gift to the world a la Christmas Truce of 1914.

Now if we could only get all the Russian tanks to withdraw from Ukraine’s borders. 

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MOSCOW — Dec 19, 2018, 11:17 AM ET

Oleksandr Turchynov, the secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, said in an interview with the BBC published Wednesday that another such mission is necessary to prevent Russia from claiming control over the body of water. Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Wednesday denounced his remarks as a “provocation.”

On Nov. 25, the Russian coast guard fired upon and seized three Ukrainian naval vessels and 24 seamen when they tried to sail from the Black Sea into the Sea of Azov. The U.S. and its NATO allies have condemned what they described as unjustified use of force by Russia, and urged Moscow to release the boats and their crews.

Ukraine said its boats operated in line with international rules, while Russia charged that the Ukrainian vessels had failed to obtain permission to pass.

The standoff has further fueled the tug-of-war between the two neighbors over Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and support for separatist rebels in eastern Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko responded to the incident by introducing martial law for 30 days, something Ukraine hadn’t done even after Crimea’s annexation and amid large-scale fighting with Russia-backed separatists in the east in 2014-2015.

As part of martial law, Ukraine has beefed up its forces on the border with Russia, called up reservists for training and barred entry to all Russian males aged between 16 and 60.

Amid the tensions, Russia and Ukraine accused each other of making plans to launch a military action.

Turchynov told the BBC that it’s essential for Ukraine to mount a new naval deployment into the Sea of Azov, warning that if Ukraine stands back Russia will take over sea routes and dictate its will.

“We have no alternative,” he said.

He said Ukraine would invite representatives of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe and other international organizations to put their representatives on board the Ukrainian ships during the mission. The Ukrainian official didn’t say when Ukraine expects to launch it.

Turchynov noted that the Ukrainian military plans to deploy new missiles onshore, adding that they would be capable of destroy the bridge linking Crimea with Russia.

In Moscow, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova denounced Turchynov’s statement as “irresponsible,” adding that it would only exacerbate tensions and derail European efforts to de-escalate the situation.


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