Information operations · Information Warfare · Russia · Ukraine

Ukraine Ad Hoc Media Update (45)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

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Russian propaganda machine running at full speed to the classic Soviet script – deja vu for Cold Warriors. UK media on the May 2018 incident in which 17 AV-MF and VKS aircraft operating from Crimea conducted low altitude passes over the HMS Duncan in the Black Sea, to the extent of getting to distances where the long-range search radar emissions were at unsafe levels. Aircraft in footage include FLANKER, FENCER, and FROGFOOT.

Much in the Western media on the very weak reactions by many European political leaders. Even more on how the US should be responding, including a call by Adm Stavridis (Rtd) on lethal military aid for Ukraine, echoing Sen Menendez. Media reports claim Germany and France are opposed to additional sanctions. European weakness likely reflects internal divisions, especially in Germany where the SDP has a close relationship with Russian energy vendors.

Pres Poroshenko interviewed by NBC and CNN and puts the Ukrainian case eloquently. Putin has apparently refused phone calls with Poroshenko. Poroshenko stated that in discussions with SECSTATE Pompeo he was promised more military aid – let us hope it is substantial and sufficient to alter the military balance in that region sufficiently to be taken seriously in Muscovy. Ultimately, a sad but repeatedly demonstrated reality is that the Russian leadership only respects firepower and the willingness to use it without hesitation, no matter what the Russian body count produced.

In Crimea the Russians push ahead with their show trials, the intent being to aggravate and humiliate the Ukrainians. Some of the sailors cracked, some have not. Adm Voronchenko publicly calls on the sailors to resist. The tugboat CO tells his lawyer that the Russians attacked while the three vessels waited for a Russian pilot to arrive to guide them out of the holding area. More reports on the damage effects, and updates on martial law and Donbass.

Strategic analysis by Boulègue @ Chatham, Bildt and others, and multiple backgrounders.

The SIGINT intercepts and political / propaganda behavior of the Muscovy regime, especially the naval personnel commenting on Russian leadership expectations during the pursuit, suggests this whole incident is another regime driven ad hoc play, to exploit the opportunity the Ukrainians presented by sending three unprepared light naval assets, with very inexperienced crews, into the maw of the Bear. The game for Muscovy now is to the extract a maximum of embarrassment and distress from Western political leaders, and a maximum of political humiliation for the much despised Ukrops, especially the Kyiv leadership. The West’s best game plan is to follow the suggestions of Sen Menendez, Adm Stavridis, and many others previously – inundate Ukraine with enough free of charge military aid to decisively skew the strategic balance in the region. To maintain the favorable balance Russia wants in the region, it will have to spend a lot of Roubles it simply does not have. The other desirable dimension of additional military aid is that it makes a Russian invasion much less feasible, and thus much less attractive politically. Both sides can play the Cold War game, and why the West should try not to do so defies comprehension.


Moment 17 Russian jets swarmed UK destroyer

Sky News – First for Breaking News, video, headlines, analysis and top stories from business, politics, entertainment and more in the UK and worldwide.

17 Russian Combat Aircraft “Buzzed” British Royal Navy warship HMS Duncan in the Black Sea near Crimea – The Aviationist

During the filming of a documentary, UK’s Channel 5 captured interesting footage of a Royal Navy Type 45 destroyer “buzzed” by Russian fighter jets off the coast of Crimea, in May 2018. The video, embedded below via the Daily Mail, indeed shows several Russian Navy (and probably Air Force) jets, including Su-30SM Flanker derivative and Su-24 Fencer jets flying in the vicinity of HMS Duncan. Considered what happened on Sunday, when the Russians seized three Ukrainian vessels imposing a naval blockade of the passage to the Sea of Azov, there is been some media hype surrounding the “close encounter” that UK Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson described as a sign of “brazen hostility” from Russia.

Royal Navy warship buzzed by 17 Russian fighter jets near Crimea | Daily Star

A ROYAL Navy warship was harassed by 17 Russian fighting jets in an “unprecedented” show of military force near the annexed Crimean Peninsula.

Royal Navy warship HMS Duncan swarmed by Russian fighter jets of Crimea coast | Metro News

The Russian jets are seen flying so close that the aircraft’s electronics could have been scrambled by the warship’s radar system

Where is HMS Duncan now, what happened with the Russian jets and what is the Royal Navy ship’s crest?

HMS Duncan faced ‘brazen hostility’ in the Black Sea as Russian fighter jets dangerously buzzed it off the coast of Crimea

HMS Duncan: Scots-built Royal Navy warship swarmed by ‘unprecedented’ Russian jets in new footage – The Scotsman

Dramatic footage is being released of the moment a Scots-built warship was swarmed by 17 Russian jets as she led a Nato fleet through the Black Sea.

Fleet of 17 Russian fighter jets swarmed a Royal Navy warship in Black Sea | Daily Mail Online

A Channel 5 documentary has revealed the moment 17 Russian fighter jets flew dangerously close to Royal Navy destroyer HMS Duncan while she was on assignment in the Black Sea.

17 Russian Jets Buzzed A British Destroyer In An ‘Unprecedented’ Show Of Force

17 Russian warplanes swarmed the Royal Navy destroyer HMS Duncan as it sailed near Crimea in the Black Sea earlier this year

‘Good luck, guys’: 17 Russian jets buzzed a British destroyer and left a threatening message earlier this year | Business Insider

Footage released as part of a documentary about life aboard a British warship shows an incident in which 17 Russian warplanes swarmed the Royal Navy destroyer HMS Duncan as it sailed near Crimea in the Black Sea earlier this year.

France, Germany Reportedly Against New Sanctions on Russia Over Kerch Strait Row – Sputnik International

Austria has mulled over the possibility of new sanctions against Russia due to the detention of three Ukrainian Navy vessels that sailed toward the Kerch Strait in what Moscow has described as an unequivocal provocation committed in violation of international law.

Kerch Strait incident: Another Gulf of Tonkin? – YouTube

RT America Published on Nov 27, 2018 Russia has released video testimony of three detained Ukrainian sailors concerning Sunday’s incident in the Kerch Strait, one of whom admits that he consciously ignored Russian orders to change course. However, Western reactions remain predictably pro-Ukrainian. Professor and author Jeremy Kuzmarov joins News.Views.Hughes to share his insights.

Trump-Putin meeting ‘settled,’ preparations ongoing – Kremlin — RT World News

The Kremlin received no notice of US President Donald Trump calling off talks with Russian leader Vladimir Putin at the G20 event in Argentina, the Kremlin spokesperson confirmed after Trump saying he might back out.

Trump set to meet Putin at G20… but ‘maybe’ he won’t — RT World News

US President Donald Trump is still unsure whether to meet with Vladimir Putin, pending a ‘full report’ about the Kerch Strait incident that by pure coincidence happened just days before the upcoming G20 summit in Argentina.

Trump May Not Have Meeting With Putin at G20 Over Kerch Strait Incident – Sputnik International

US President Donald Trump said in an interview that he may cancel his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the upcoming G20 over the Kerch Strait incident.

Putin Preparing to Meet Trump on G20 Sidelines – Kremlin – Sputnik International

MOSCOW (Sputnik) – Russian President Vladimir Putin’s meeting with US President Donald Trump on the G20 summit sidelines has been agreed and is being prepared, there is no information about the cancellation of the meeting from the US side, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters Wednesday.

Trump-Putin Talks to Cover ‘Full Agenda,’ Including Arms Control Issues – Bolton – Sputnik International

WASHINGTON (Sputnik) – US President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin will address a full range of issues when they meet this weekend on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Argentina, including arms control and security issues, US National Security Adviser John Bolton said in a press conference at the White House.

‘Putin is in control’ – POLITICO

Europe stands by as Russian president goes after Ukraine.

Trump must stand up to Putin

President Trump now faces the gravest test yet to his leadership.

Russia-Ukraine Kerch Strait incident tests Trump, U.S. power – Washington Times

Russian President Vladimir Putin is bent on testing American resolve around the world, with a brazen attack on three Ukrainian ships last weekend marking the latest in the former KGB spy’s grand strategy to measure the strength of U.S. alliances and challenge the international democratic order.

Trump’s weakness begets Russian aggression – The Washington Post

If the president and Republicans aren’t going to do it, it’s up to Democrats to defend our interests and values.

Ways to Make Putin Pay for Ukraine – WSJ

Cancel the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, and don’t canoodle at the G-20.

Trump Says May Cancel Putin Meeting Over Russia’s Capture Of Ukrainian Sailors

U.S. President Donald Trump says he is considering canceling his scheduled meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the Group of 20 summit in Argentina this week over Russia’s detention of …

Trump threatens to cancel G20 meeting with Putin over aggression against Ukraine | Daily Mail Online

President Donald Trump is threatening to call off a meeting with Vladimir Putin at the G20 over Russian ‘aggression’ in the Ukraine in a major break with the leader he has tried to befriend.

Trump says Putin meeting may be called off over ‘aggression’ against Ukraine | PBS NewsHour

In an interview with The Washington Post Tuesday, Trump says he will be receiving a “full report” from his national security team. “That will be very determinative,” Trump said.

Trump says Putin meeting up in the air after Russia seized Ukrainian ships

President Trump said a planned meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the G-20 summit is now pending following the Russian seizure of three Ukrainian naval ships and 24 sailors.

Ukraine-Russia sea clash: Trump may cancel G20 Putin talks – BBC News

“I don’t like the aggression,” the US leader says after Russia seizes Ukrainian boats off Crimea.

Trump threatens to cancel Putin meeting amid Russia-Ukraine tensions | Fox News

President Trump on Tuesday threatened to cancel an upcoming meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin after the nation allegedly fired at Ukrainian naval vessels and seized the ships and their crews.

Trump may cancel G-20 meeting with Putin – POLITICO

The president said his decision will be based on a formal report on Russia’s attacking of Ukranian naval vessels.

Trump on Black Sea Clash: I Don’t Want That Aggression | Newsmax.com

Because of Russia’s aggressive actions against Ukraine, President Donald Trump might cancel a planned meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the upcoming G-20 Summit.

‘I don’t like that aggression’: Trump threatens to cancel Putin meeting over clash with Ukraine – The Washington Post

The U.S. and Russian presidents are scheduled to meet at the Group of 20 meeting in Buenos Aires later this week.

Donald Trump to meet Vladimir Putin as Ukraine Russia tensions rise – CNNPolitics

President Donald Trump once mocked his predecessor as he confronted Russia’s 2014 aggression in Ukraine, saying Russian President Vladimir Putin was “having a great time toying with the President.”

Trump Was ‘Hypnotized’ by Putin and Shouldn’t Meet Him ‘One-on-One,’ Senator Says

“He’s under investigation for possible collusion with the Russians. We don’t know what kind of connections he has financially, conflicts of interest,” Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley warned.

Will Nikki Haley Be The Last Trump Official Who Stands Up to Russia? – Defense One

The American ambassador to the UN, who is stepping down this year, is perhaps the Trump administration’s most forceful, but often solitary, critic of …

NATO secretary on balancing act with Russia – YouTube

CNN Published on Nov 27, 2018 In an interview with CNN’s Jim Sciutto, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said NATO will continue to provide strong support to Ukraine and wants to reach a political solution without military confrontation.

Volker says Russia intend to control access to Mariupol – 112.international

U.S. Special Representative to Ukraine Kurt Volker stated that Russia intended to have sole control over the access to the Ukrainian ports, as Ukrinform reported. “I think, this is the question of access to Mariupol for Ukrainians. Russia claims a unilateral right to control this access, this is the problem. It doesn’t mean that Russia will perform another attack on the land,” Volker said answering the question whether Russia would take another shot to create a land corridor to Crimea. Related: Incident in Azov Sea became ‘extraordinary event’ in 4.5 years of Russian aggression, – Poroshenko Volker noted that he would be surprised if Russians would take this step. The attempts to control sea waters cause enough concern. The representative of the State Department reminded that the U.S. and partners do not recognize Crimea’s annexation as they do not recognize that these waters belong to Russia solely. “Russia has to respect and obligate the agreement of 2003,” he said.

No concrete calls for sanctions in EU declaration on Azov Sea scheduled for release today – journalist | UNIAN

Brussels reporter for Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Rikard Jozwiak has said the EU declaration on Azov Sea was set to be released later on Wednesday, Nov 28, and that the draft had no concrete calls for sanctions against Russia. The declaration apparently has no words of “condemnation,” according to the reporter.

Germany, France against new anti-Russian sanctions – media | UNIAN

France and Germany do not support the introduction of new sanctions against the Russian Federation in the wake of the seizure by the Russian side of the Ukrainian naval vessels in the Kerch Strait. The two countries reportedly seek to continue their diplomatic efforts and consider in this context the involvement of the OSCE in the conflict at the Sea of Azov.

Western leaders slow in responding to Russian attacks on Ukraine | KyivPost

The leaders of Western countries are not moving fast in taking action to respond to Russia’s latest acts of aggression against Ukraine, in the wake of the Nov. 25 attacks on boats belonging to the Ukrainian navy on the Black Sea near the Kerch Strait that connects to the Azov Sea. The operation on the evening of Nov. 25 by naval elements of Russia’s Federal Security Service, or FSB, backed by Spetsnaz special forces, resulted in three Ukrainian vessels being illegally seized and 24 sailors captured and imprisoned. In response, the Ukrainian government called for an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council and later implemented limited martial law across coastal regions of Ukraine, as well as those bordering Russia on land. Western leaders have faced criticism for what some observers have said was a slow, stumbling response to the developing crisis in Kerch, with tweeted statements of condemnation and concern standing as the only western response for almost two days.

In interview, Ukrainian president asks Trump to deliver pointed message to Putin

The president of Ukraine has a message that he wants President Donald Trump to personally deliver to Russian President Vladimir Putin at the upcoming G20 summit in Argentina: “Get out of Ukraine, Mr. Putin.”

Russia Ukraine ship seizure latest: Petro Poroshenko sends warning to Russia

Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko has warned that Russia will face serious consequences if it attacks its neighbor Ukraine, days after Russia seized three Ukrainian navy ships and their crew members claiming they had entered Russian waters illegally.

NBC News: Ukrainian president asks Trump to deliver pointed message to Putin | UNIAN

The president of Ukraine has a message that he wants President Donald Trump to personally deliver to Russian President Vladimir Putin at the upcoming G20 summit in Argentina: “Get out of Ukraine, Mr. Putin,” Petro Poroshenko said Tuesday. Petro Poroshenko warned Russia would “pay a huge price” if they invaded Ukraine.

Incident in Azov Sea became ‘extraordinary event’ in 4.5 years of Russian aggression, – Poroshenko – 112.international

The attack of the Russian Navy and the subsequent capture of Ukrainian vessels in the Sea of Azov is an extraordinary event, the first of such kind over four and a half years of the Russian aggression. Petro Poroshenko, the head of the Ukrainian state said that in his interview with three Ukrainian TV channels on Tuesday evening. The President explained why Ukraine imposed martial law just now, not any other time since the beginning of the Russian aggression in Ukraine in spring 2014. ‘Actually, what happened on November 25 was an extraordinary event, first time over 4.5 years of the Russian aggression. Officially, without tearing down their chevrons, without any ‘little green men’, Russian military vessels – in huge amount – attacked the ships of Ukraine’s Armed Forces’, Poroshenko said. The president stressed that the actual threat of full-fledged Russian military invasion in Ukraine remains. As is known, Russia launched the military aggression in Ukraine in 2014, annexing Crimea and deploying regular troops in Donbas, eastern Ukraine. Thousands of people, military and civilians deceased in fights and due to accidents with explosives. Over 20,000 were wounded, and more than 1.8 million people became refugees. Russian militants and regular troops captured 7.2 percent of Ukraine’s territory.

NBC’s Richard Engel in exclusive interview with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko – YouTube

euronews (in English) Published on Nov 28, 2018 “Get out of Ukraine, Mr. Putin” – strong words from Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko in an NBC exclusive interview with NBC’s Richard Engel. They spoke about martial law, NATO and upcoming elections.…

Watch: “Get out of Ukraine, Mr. Putin,” says Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko | Euronews

“Get out of Ukraine, Mr. Putin” – strong words from Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko in an NBC’s Richard Engel. On the agenda: martial law, NATO and upcoming elections.

‘Get out from Ukraine, Mr. Putin’: Poroshenko relies on Trump’s support – 28.11.2018 12:10 — Ukrinform News

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko relies on support of U.S. President Donald Trump during the G20 summit.

Pompeo pledges military aid to Ukraine, Poroshenko says | UNIAN

U.S. State Secretary Mike Pompeo has pledged “full assistance, including military assistance,” to Ukraine after Sunday’s confrontation between Ukraine and Russia, that’s according to Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko. The top diplomat also promised “full coordination” on protecting Ukrainian sovereignty.

Mike Pompeo, the U.S. Secretary of the State promised military assistance for Ukraine – Poroshenko – 112.international

Mike Pompeo, the U.S. Secretary of the State promised military assistance for Ukraine so that it could boost the defenses amidst the spell of Russian aggression in the Kerch Strait. President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said this in his interview with CNN. ‘Ukraine’s President Poroshenko tells me that during a phone call with Mike Pompeo, the U.S. Secretary of State pledged “full assistance, including military assistance,” to protect Ukrainian sovereignty’, CNN’s Christiane Amanpour wrote on Twitter. As is known, the Ukrainian Parliament passed the bill, which confirmed the presidential decree on imposing the martial law in Ukraine. This is due to the crisis in Azov Sea, where Russian naval group attacked and captured three Ukrainian vessels along with the crew. Earlier, Poroshenko had an interview with reporters of three Ukrainian TV channels; in it, he said that the attack of the Russian Navy and the subsequent capture of Ukrainian vessels in the Sea of Azov is an extraordinary event, the first of such kind over four and a half years of the Russian aggression. The President explained why Ukraine imposed martial law just now, not any other time since the beginning of the Russian aggression in Ukraine in spring 2014. ‘Actually, what happened on November 25 was an extraordinary event, first time over 4.5 years of the Russian aggression. Officially, without tearing down their chevrons, without any ‘little green men’, Russian military vessels – in huge amount – attacked the ships of Ukraine’s Armed Forces’, Poroshenko said. The president stressed that the actual threat of full-fledged Russian military invasion in Ukraine remains.

Poroshenko counts on U.S. support amid heated tensions over Kerch Strait | UNIAN

Petro Poroshenko says he counts on the United States’ support against the background of the latest escalation in the Black-Azov seas area. Poroshenko calls the Black Sea “the point of global security.”

Poroshenko asks Trump to convey his message to Putin | UNIAN

Petro Poroshenko asked U.S. President Donald Trump to convey the message to the Russian leader, Vladimir Putin, during their upcoming meeting at a G20 summit in Argentina. Speaking earlier about the incident off the Crimea coast, Trump said he did not like what was happening between Ukraine and Russia.

Poroshenko says he tried to contact Putin after capture of Ukrainian boats in Black Sea | UNIAN

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko says he tried to contact Russian President Vladimir Putin after Russian forces had captured Ukrainian boats near the Kerch Strait in the Black Sea, but the Russian side did not respond. German Chancellor Angela Merkel acted as an intermediary.

Threat looming of full-scale war with Russia: Poroshenko | UNIAN

The need to introduce martial law in Ukraine is due to the threat of a full-scale war with Russia, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said during an interview with Ukrainian TV channels. The president says there is clear intelligence that the latest attack on Ukrainian Navy boats near the Kerch Strait “is only the beginning” of something bigger.

Russia to deploy new S-400 missiles on Crimea: Ifax | Reuters

Russia will deploy new S-400 surface-to-air missile systems on the Crimean peninsula soon, the Interfax news agency cited the Russian defense ministry as saying on Wednesday.

Russia sends warship to Azov Sea and readies S-400 missiles for Crimea | Daily Star

A RUSSIAN warship has been spotted heading towards the Sea of Azov and missiles are to be deployed to Crimea amid military tensions with Ukraine.

Russia threatens Ukrainian sailors with six years in prison | World | The Times

Martial law came into effect across swathes of Ukraine today after President Poroshenko warned that Russia was risking “full-scale war” by seizing its neighbor’s naval ships and sailors. Mr Poroshenko signed an act introducing the state of emergency along Ukraine’s borders with Russia, Crimea, and

Russian Court Jails Captured Ukrainian Sailors For Two Months

A Russian court has ordered 12 of the 24 Ukrainian sailors who were captured by Russian coast-guard forces during a confrontation at sea off Crimea to be held in custody for two months.

Ukraine-Russia sea clash: Captured sailors shown on Russia TV – BBC News

Three Ukrainians seized by Russia give statements on the flare-up in tensions off Crimea.

Simferopol “court” begins arrest of Ukrainian sailors detained in Kerch Strait – 112.international

The so-called “Kyiv District Court” of Simferopol has begun to choose the restrictive measure for the Ukrainian sailors detained in the evening of November 25 in Kerch Strait as journalist Anton Naumlyuk reported on Facebook. It is already reported about the arrest of Serhy Tsybizov and Viktor Varemez. They are arrested for two months until January 25, 2019. Earlier Naumlyuk reported that on November 27, the judges will choose the restrictive measure for 12 sailors. The cases of the rest of them will be considered tomorrow on November 28. The restrictive measure for the wounded sailors will be chosen in Kerch, medical military unit. As we reported earlier the coast guard ships of the Russian Navy acted aggressively against the ships of the Ukrainian Navy, which have been carrying out a scheduled transition from Odesa port to Mariupol port in the Sea of Azov.

Four captured Ukrainian sailors wounded, one seriously – Herashchenko – LB.ua news portal

Four captured Ukrainian sailors wounded, one seriously – Herashchenko. “Illegal methods of putting pressure were applied to the captives.” Political – LB.ua news portal. Latest from Ukraine and the world today

Navy Commander to captured sailors: Brothers!.. Law is on our side… Fear is a natural thing | UNIAN

Ukraine Navy Commander Vice Admiral Ihor Voronchenko through lawyers has handed a letter to the Ukrainian sailors captured by Russian coastguards off Crimea coast Nov 25. According to Voronchenko, the most important task now is to bring the Ukrainians back home. Ukraine is making all possible efforts to this end.

Ukraine opens case against Russia over violation of Geneva Convention – LB.ua news portal

Ukraine opens case against Russia over violation of Geneva Convention. The captured sailors are deprived of the right to unbiased judicial proceedings in Crimea. Political – LB.ua news portal. Latest from Ukraine and the world today

Prosecutor’s office probes breach of laws of war against captive Ukrainian sailors – 27.11.2018 17:59 — Ukrinform News

The Prosecutor's Office of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea has opened a criminal case on the violation by the occupying power of the peninsula of the laws and customs of war with respect to Ukrainian prisoners of war, the press service of the prosecutor's office has reported.

Azov standoff. Continuation – LB.ua news portal

When the Russian Navy and FSB attacked a small flotilla of the Ukrainian Navy consisting of the Yani Kapu tugboat and the small armored boats Berdyansk and Nikopol in the Kerch Strait on 25 November, the Russian Federation once again showed its true face to the international community. Whereas earlier the Kremlin used to say something simple about its aggressive actions against Ukraine, such “it’s not us”, “they are not there”, “we have nothing to do with it”, in this situation it openly showed the international community its disregard of international law by carrying out a direct act of aggression. As a result, the Russian forces’ illegal actions with regard to the ships and personnel of the Ukrainian Navy bring relations between the countries to a new level.

Commander of seized Ukrainian boat “Berdyansk” refuses to testify to FSB – 112.international

Commander of small armored artillery boat “Berdyansk” of the Naval Forces of Ukraine, Senior Lieutenant Roman Mokriak refused to answer the questions of the officers of Russia’s FSB and “confess” in the crimes, which he did not commit as Dumskaya reported. “He is a good officer, and a brave person. He flipped the security officers off. The Crimean occupation “court” arrested Roman,” the Crimean human rights activists said.

Yani Kapu boat commander: “We were waiting for pilot when they attacked us” – LB.ua news portal

Lawyer Edem Semedlyayev has visited his client, the commander of the Yani Kapu tugboat captured by Russia, Oleh Melnychuk, in the Bilohirsk remand centre, Radio Liberty journalist Anton Naumlyuk has said on Facebook. “He is holding up well. He said that he was subjected to physical force, but he was not badly beaten. He was questioned. He said how it happened: ‘We were standing, waiting for a pilot, when we got attacked. We did not violate any border, I do not consider myself guilty,” his lawyer quoted him as saying. Melnychuk said he understand that it is a “political case, and the sailors are hostages to the situation”. In addition to Melnychuk, the Russians brought Ukrainian sailors Yevhen Semydotskyy and Vyacheslav Zynchenko to Bilohirsk. However, an investigator says that Zynchenko is in the Alushta remande centre. A court will select a measure of restraint for the three tomorrow. On 25 November, Russia blocked the Kerch Strait, fired on and seized the Yani Kapu tug and the Berdyansk and Nikopol gunboats together with their crews of 24 people.

World War 3: UK to face ALL-OUT conflict with Russia over Putin Ukraine Azov Sea invasion | World | News | Express.co.uk

THE UK could be dragged into another Cold War with Russia if it does not respond robustly to Russia’s bellicose actions towards Ukraine in the Azov Sea, a former US Navy boss has warned.

Firing to kill: Photo shows aftermath of Russian warship’s attack on Ukrainian Navy boat | UNIAN

A photo of the consequences of the Russian military attack against the Ukrainian ‘Berdiansk’ artillery boat has been published on social networks. It was not the propeller section but the cockpit that the Russian shooter aimed at.Eight Russian law enforcers and border guards of Russia’s FSB, who attacked the Ukrainian sailors were notified about suspicion as Andry Lysenko, the spokesperson of the Prosecutor General’s Office (GPU) reported on Facebook. “On November 27, 2018, the prosecutors of the Security Service of Ukraine in Odesa region and military prosecutors of the Military Prosecutor’s Office of South region of Ukraine notified the following soldiers of the Border Guard Service of the FSB and Armed Forces of the Russian Federation who attacked the Ukrainian sailors about the suspicion according to the signs of the crimes such as planning, preparation, outbreak and holding of the aggressive of the war, attempted crime and intentional homicide,” he noted. Besides, Lysenko specified the soldiers notified about suspicion: Head of the Border Department of Russia’s FSB in Sevastopol and Counter Admiral Stankevich S.; Deputy Head of the Border Department of Russia’s FSB, Head of Coast Guard Department and Vice-admiral Medvedev G.; Head of Command and Control Service of Russia’s FSB in Sevastopol, including patrol boats “Izumrud” and “Don” and Captain 1st rank Romashkin G.; Deputy Head of the Office, Head of Command and Control Service of Russia’s FSB and Captain 1st rank Shein A.; Head of Command and Control Service of Russia’s FSB in Kerch and Captain 2nd rank Shatokhin A.; Commander of Border Escort Ship “Don” and Captain 2nd rank Saliaev A.; Commander of Escort Ship “Izumrud” and Captain 3rd rank Shipitsyn A.; Commander of Small Anti-Submarine Warfare “Suzdalets” and Captain 3rd rank Scherbakov S. As we reported earlier the coast guard ships of the Russian Navy acted aggressively against the ships of the Ukrainian Navy, which have been carrying out a scheduled transition from Odesa port to Mariupol port in the Sea of Azov.

Ukraine reveals details of Russian attacks on its naval vessels – Defence Blog

The head of Ukraine’s state security service (SBU) and other officials have revealed details of attacks on Ukrainian naval vessels by Russian troops in the Kerch Strait on November 25, 2018. The incident started on Sunday when, three Ukrainian naval vessels, the military tug “Jani Kapu” (A-947) and two small artillery boats Berdyansk (P-175) and Nikopol (P-176) strayed in the Kerch Strait, which connects the smaller Sea of Azov with the larger Black Sea. The ships were headed north from Odessa to Mariupol on the Sea of Azov. Ukraine officials claim that its three warships were in waters shared by both countries under a 2003 agreement. It claims Russian border guard ships harassed and intimidated their ships, including ramming them and opening fire at least sixteen times. Ukraine says three of its sailors were seriously wounded and bleeding profusely in the incident. In the evening on 25 November, Ukrainian vessels with 23 crew members been fired on and seized by the Russian troops in international waters. “The real surprise is the fact that against the two Ukrainian boats and the small tugboat, the Russians used six “FSB” (Russian Federal Security Service) and four naval vessels, as well as combat helicopters and airplanes of the Russian Federation Air Force,” the head of Ukraine’s state security service (SBU) Vasyl Hrytsak said. Russia also scrambled 5 fighter jets and two attacks helicopters to the Kerch area included modern Su-30 and Ka-52. “According to the confirmed operational information of the SBU, one of the Russian attack aircraft used two unguided combat missiles against the Ukrainian boats, as a result of which one of the officers of the SBU was seriously wounded,” Vasyl Hrytsak also noted in a statement on Tuesday. Russia confirmed it had used weapons to force the Ukrainian vessels to stop, saying three Ukrainians were injured. Shots were fired at a small artillery boats Berdyansk (P-175), the boat was fired from a 30mm gun from the Russian ship and fired from a Su-30 fighter jet. The tug was also was fired at, but the shells did not hit the target. Ukrainian ships were forced to stop, after which they were captured by Russian special forces. The European Union called on Russia to “restore freedom of passage at the Kerch Strait” and urged “all to act with utmost restraint”. Nato said it “fully supports Ukraine’s sovereignty and its territorial integrity, including its navigational rights in its territorial waters”. It said Russia should “ensure unhindered access to Ukrainian ports in the Azov Sea”. Kyiv called Russia’s actions a flagrant violation of international law, because the Black Sea is free for shipping, and Crimea belongs to Ukraine. On Monday, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said he was proposing that parliament back a 30-day martial law. Sunday’s clash is the first time Russia and Ukraine have come into open conflict in recent years, although Ukrainian forces have been fighting Russian-backed separatists and Russia volunteers in the east since 2014.

Ukraine: Intercepted Communications Suggest Kremlin Directed Azov Sea Crisis – Defense One

An audiotape released by Kiev appears to back up their version of events. One former U.S. military commander says there’s no doubt.

Number of Russian aircraft, ships in occupied Crimea grows by five to ten times in four years – Poroshenko | UNIAN

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko says the number of Russian troops over four years of its occupation of Ukraine’s Crimea has tripled, while the number of Russian aircraft, multiple rocket launchers and ships has grown by five to ten times. The number of Russian troops on the occupied peninsula has tripled.

Martial Law Imposed In 10 Ukrainian Regions, Russia Says Sending More Missiles To Crimea

Russia said on November 28 that it will boost Crimean defenses by deploying more antiaircraft missiles in the region it seized in 2014, as martial law came into force for 30 days in parts of Ukrain…

Martial law in Ukraine to suspend further Russian aggression for some time – expert | UNIAN

Expert of international affairs Taras Semenyuk has said the introduction of martial law in some regions of Ukraine will not provoke greater aggression on the part of the Kremlin. On the contrary, it will for some time hold Russia from further escalation. However, Moscow will never stop its desire to continue military aggression. Expert of international affairs Taras Semenyuk has said the introduction of martial law in some regions of Ukraine will not provoke greater aggression on the part of the Kremlin. On the contrary, it will for some time hold Russia from further escalation. “Moscow has not given up on its plans to resume the ‘Novorossiya’ project. Such tensions in the Sea of Azov, which could later shift to the Black Sea, may be due to the fact that Moscow is restoring the Novorossiya scenario and put an eye on Mykolayiv and Kherson regions. Therefore, these areas are included in the military plan. Moscow will never stop them from pursuing with military aggression,” Semenyuk told Ukraine’s Priamyi TV Channel.

President signs document introducing martial law in Ukraine – 28.11.2018 12:09 — Ukrinform News

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko has signed a law approving his decree on the introduction of martial law in Ukraine.

Ukraine’s railroads to operate under special regime during martial law, infrastructure minister says. PHOTO

Ukrainian Infrastructure Minister Volodymyr Omelian held an expanded meeting with the executives of Ukrzaliznytsia, Ukravtodor, the Ukrainian Sea Port Authority, the State Aviation Service, UkSATSE, and seaports at which he ordered tighter security at railroad terminals and stations, airports, seaports, and other infrastructure. As reported by Censor.NET citing Interfax-Ukraine, he also endorsed a special regime for national railroads in order to increase their capacity and to assign sufficient rolling stock for the Ukrainian army’s needs. “Trains will be assigned in line with the transportation priorities of the wartime period, as requested by military commanders,” the Infrastructure Ministry quoted Omelian as saying.

Vox Pop: What Ukrainians Think About Martial Law

The Ukrainian parliament has voted to impose martial law for 30 days after Russian forces fired on Ukrainian ships and seized 24 sailors in the Black Sea off the coast of the Russian-controlled Crimean Peninsula. RFE/RL asked people in the Ukrainian cities of Odesa and Kramatorsk on November 27 what they think about the introduction of martial law.

UAWire – Ukrainian intelligence: DPR and LPR armies have increased their combat readiness

The representative for the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Vadim Skibitsky stated that military units of …

UAWire – Kyiv: Russia has 500 military planes on Ukrainian border

Russia has amassed roughly 500 tactical military planes and 340 helicopters along its border with Ukraine, Ukrinform reports, citing Vadym …

Ukrainian Presidential Election Set For March 31, 2019

Ukraine has formally scheduled a presidential election for March 31, 2019.

Ukraine’s border guards keep more than 70 Russians from entering Ukraine over one day – 112.international

The State Border Guard of Ukraine kept over 70 Russian citizens away from entering the country – on one single day, Monday, November 26. The number included those who arrived from Belarus. Andriy Demchenko, the Head of the PR office of the Ukrainian authority told that in a commentary for ‘Ukrainska Pravda’ outlet. Commenting on the statement of the State Border Committee of Belarus, which claimed that 47 Russian citizens were turned back to Minsk from Kyiv, Demchenko said there’s been more of these cases. ‘Yesterday, more than 70 Russian citizens were halted in the capital city’s airports, Boryspil and Kyiv,’ the official stressed. ‘The overwhelming majority was not allowed because they could not confirm the goal of their visit to Ukraine. Another two illegally visited the occupied territories, including Crimea’. The Russians who visited the occupied territories were prohibited to visit Ukraine again, while the others returned to where they came from on return flights, Demchenko concluded. The boosted security measures at Ukrainian border checkpoints are related to the martial law, imposed in ten regions of the country, as well as in the Azov Sea waters. The martial law was imposed on Monday, November 26; it will last for at least 30 days, with possible prolongation. It was the response of the Ukrainian leaders to the aggression in the Sea of Azov, as Russian Navy attacked the Ukrainian vessels in Kerch Strait.

Mathieu Boulègue | In Sea of Azov, Russia Again Tests Its Strength | Chatham House

The recent skirmish with Ukrainian vessels is part of the Kremlin’s long-term efforts to destabilize Ukraine and consolidate its control over Crimea.

Aggression in Sea of Azov an attempt by Kremlin to destabilize Ukraine – Chatham House – 28.11.2018 10:20 — Ukrinform News

Russian aggression in the Sea of Azov is part of the Kremlin's long-term efforts to destabilize Ukraine and strengthen its control over Crimea.

Carl Bildt and Nico Popescu | Ukraine’s New Front Is Europe’s Big Challenge – Foreign Policy

There’s plenty Europe should do to push back against Russia’s latest attack on Ukraine.

Ukraine is woefully unprepared to wage a fight with Russia at sea (opinion) – CNN

While Ukraine is nowhere near prepared to take on Russia at sea, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko seems to be bracing to stare down the Russian bear, writes Michael Bociurkiw

The Military Situation In The Black Sea – To Inform is to Influence

The situation in the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea is direr than the chart at the bottom indicates. I’m hearing of a huge buildup of combat aircraft in the area, as well. I am attempting to download a Ukraine MOD briefing, showing how Russia is seeking to take control of the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea, but the server seems to be overwhelmed. If that’s from excessive downloading or from a Russian cyberattack, I don’t know. Somebody just asked my gut assessment. Here it is. Russia is constantly seeking ways to play the victim, to justify its aggression. Currently, the word from Russia is that Ukraine provoked the incident, acting aggressively within the Kerch Straits. Russia knows their Black Sea Fleet overwhelms the Ukrainian Navy, some of which is trapped in the Sea of Azov. Russia has supposedly massed 500+ combat aircraft in the immediate area east of Ukraine. The saving grace for Ukraine is that the world is solidly backing Ukraine and is focusing on the situation in the Black Sea with every intelligence asset available. Russian aggression in attacking Ukraine would be unjustified in the West’s eyes. Russia cannot afford a huge invasion of Ukraine, not in the short term and especially not in the long term. The sanctions and legal actions would be massive and crippling to Russia. Therefore, I believe Russia is showing their hand, hoping to show the world that “Look at us. Look at our powerful military. Look what we could do to Ukraine if we wanted. But, we are the victim here and we will show our constraint. Ukraine is only an irritant to us. We are beneficent. We are the good guys.” It briefs well but it’s BS. Russia is the aggressor and heavy sanctions and legal actions are deserved as a result of Russian action in the Kerch Straits. There is no justification for firing on Ukrainian vessels, wounding Ukrainian sailors, and ramming Ukrainian ships. Now Russia is holding at least three sailors hostage by evacuating them to Moscow for ‘medical treatment’. These are not the actions of a peaceful country. No way, no how. </end editorial>

BBC: Ukraine-Russia sea clash: Who controls the territorial waters around Crimea? – To Inform is to Influence

One of the better overviews of the situation, plus a great explanation of the Law of the Sea pertinent to this crisis.  </end editorial> Russia and Ukraine have accused each other of breaking international law after a Russian border patrol seizure of three Ukrainian ships. The naval vessels – two artillery ships and a tug…

AP Explains: Russia-Ukraine dispute raises new tensions – The Washington Post

The dispute between Russia and Ukraine in the waters off the Crimean Peninsula underscores the long and simmering tensions between the two neighbors

Russia and Ukraine had a short naval battle. Here’s what you need to know. – The Washington Post

Both sides likely gained something in the encounter.

World War 3: Safest countries to hide in 2019 amid Russia-Ukraine attack | Travel News | Travel | Express.co.uk

WORLD WAR 3: Which countries are deemed the safest in the world to hide in case of a full-scale attack, following the Russia-Ukraine political tensions?

 

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One thought on “Ukraine Ad Hoc Media Update (45)

  1. Putin has gotten Russia so heavily invested in so many minor conflicts around Russia’s greater neighborhood that just one or two flaring up would generate a severe crisis for the country in terms of resources and capabilities and subsequently prestige, image and even geopolitical footing. The recent pension debacle would look like nothing in comparison to the heat Russia finding its self spread too thin militarily during a pinch would generate.

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