Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.
The simple fact that Russia cannot deconflict aircraft in its own airspace in a combat environment screams “professional incompetence”.
According to the IDF tweets, Syria’s ADA’s methodology is Ready, Shoot, Aim. “The Syrian anti-air batteries fired indiscriminately“.
If you’re keeping score, that’s:
- Syria – 1
- Turkey – 1
- Russia – 0
I know Russia also lost a bird or two in the ocean, so is that Neptune – 1/2?
The Israeli response is unequivocal and consistent with initial analysis, but with one important difference – the Syrians killed the COOT after the Israeli jets had returned to Israeli airspace. The weapon was a 5V28 / S-200VE Vega / SA-5B GAMMON – the weapon of choice for the Syrian AD – its SQUARE PAIR radar is usually equipped with a Soviet IFF interrogator (see below), in addition to standalone IFF interrogators.
The only explanation that fits is poor fire control discipline – put bluntly, professional incompetence.
Blaming Israel is a foolish play, and it will come back to bite them eventually. Indeed, yet another self-inflicted injury.
Israel Defense Forces on Twitter: “2. When the Syrian Army launched the missiles that hit the Russian plane, IAF jets were already within Israeli airspace. 3. During the strike against the target in Latakia, the Russian plane that was then hit was not within the area of the operation.”
Israel Defense Forces on Twitter: “Israel expresses sorrow for the death of the aircrew members of the Russian plane that was downed tonight due to Syrian anti-aircraft fire. Israel holds the Assad regime, whose military shot down the Russian plane, fully responsible for this incident.”
Syrian air defenses inadvertently shot down a Russian surveillance plane over the eastern Mediterranean Sea, Moscow said on September 18, blaming what it called reckless actions by Israel that led …
Moscow has blamed Israel for the destruction of an Ilyushin Il-20 Russian military surveillance plane by Syrian air defense and the deaths of 15 Russian servicemen aboard the aircraft. According to Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov, four Israeli F-16s bombed the city of Lattakia on the evening of September 17, without warning Moscow, “creating a dangerous situation for surface ships and aircraft in the area.” The Israeli jets allegedly used the Ilyushin Il-20 as cover against Syrian air defense, resulting in a Syrian S-200 missile striking and destroying the Russian plane.
Moscow has sought to blame Israel for the fatal downing of one of its reconnaissance aircraft over Syria, after a missile defence system provided to the Assad regime by Russia shot down the plane during Israeli bombing runs. The Russian defence ministry said today that the Il-20 surveillance plane,
France was not involved in the disappearance of a Russian military aircraft over Syria, a spokesman for the French military said on Tuesday. “We deny any involvement,” Colonel Patrik Steiger said.