China · North Korea

DPRK / PRC / WESTPAC Ad Hoc Update (35)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

</end editorial>



Singapore is the dominant Asia theme, but much transpiring elsewhere, including SCO summit, SCS, China vs. US trade etc, and India. Most Singapore reports are mainly speculation and playing to audience expectations. CSIS and FA assessments more sober.


 

DPRK / PRC / WESTPAC Reports


 

The Risks of Misperception in the Nuclear Standoff with North Korea
To have any chance of success, U.S. strategy toward North Korea must be guided by an accurate sense of how Kim’s regime thinks and what it knows about Washington. Failure to do so could lead the United States to stumble into the worst conflict since World War II.
Kim Jong Un May Have Outwitted Trump at the Singapore Summit
Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un summit: No previous U.S. president considered it prudent to embark on summitry with so little preparation or on terms so favorable to the other side, let alone to promise to unilaterally discontinue defensive joint U.S.–South Korean military exercises on the Korean Peninsula.
How Trump Can Best Manage the North Korea Problem
With the June 12 Singapore summit off for now, the Trump administration needs to rethink its desire for a quick, sweeping deal that solves the problem posed by North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs.
Foreign Policy Analysts Skeptical of North Korea Summit Results, Lack of Details – WSJ
U.S. foreign policy analysts said the U.S. appeared to have given away more than it had received in return in talks between President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, and took note of the lack of details in the joint communiqué the two men signed.
Kim Jong-un, North Koreans called ‘masters at managing the media’ – Washington Times
One expert says that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is becoming a “master of managing the media.”
Assessment of the Singapore Summit | Center for Strategic and International Studies
On June 12, U.S. president Donald Trump met with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un for a bilateral summit in Singapore. Prior to the meeting, U.S. and North Korean officials engaged in weeks of talks to hammer out the logistics for the summit and attempted to bridge significant differences on the primary issue of denuclearization.
After Summit, Trump Says North Korea ‘No Longer A Nuclear Threat’
U.S. President Donald Trump has asserted that Pyongyang no longer poses a nuclear threat to the world following his summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
Russia Welcomes Trump-Kim Summit; North Korean Official To Meet Putin
The Kremlin has welcomed a landmark summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, saying that Russia has long called for direct dialogue to resolve the standoff ov…
When Reagan Went to the Wall: A Berlin-Singapore Nexus? | RealClearPolitics
The unlikely meeting between President Donald J. Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un has ended amid handshakes, expressions of goodwill, and hopes — but no proof — that something good has…
Trump Got Nearly Nothing From Kim Jong Un – Defense One
Maybe this is the beginning of something big. But it started off small.
Blindsiding Pentagon & Allies, Trump Says US Will End Military Drills with S. Korea – Defense One
Analysts noted that Trump received nothing but vague statements in return for the concession.
The world should welcome Trump’s bold move to engage Kim Jong Un | TheHill
No one should ever have expected that Trump and Kim could solve a decades-old problem in a single afternoon.
Opinion | Trump and Kim Have Just Walked Us Back From the Brink of War – The New York Times
Don’t scoff. The Singapore summit is a first step toward peace.
Ex-spy or genteel diplomat? North Korea’s choices for nuclear talks with Pompeo | Reuters
Two of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s closest aides – a former military intelligence chief and the country’s foreign minister – are being talked of as the most likely candidates to negotiate with U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on denuclearization.
Trump gave North Korea a huge concession by committing to cease military drills with South Korea — Quartz
Donald Trump’s historic summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un today (June 12) ended with a signed document that laid out four basic commitments—establishing diplomatic ties between the US and North Korea, building a “lasting and stable peace regime” on the Korean peninsula, working toward complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, and the repatriation…
Pence to brief House GOP leaders on North Korea summit | TheHill
Pence briefed GOP senators during an off-campus lunch earlier in the day.
Trump stokes confusion with pledge to halt Korean war games | TheHill
President Trump spurred confusion and consternation among lawmakers and foreign allies on Tuesday when he announced that the U.S.
Will North Korea follow through on denuclearization? – YouTube
The Trump-Kim summit was big on style, short on substance
The longer you focus on the signed agreement and Trump’s subsequent news conference, the less there is that meets the eye.
Graham: Trump citing cost for end of war games is ‘ridiculous’ – CNNPolitics
President Donald Trump’s reasoning for the United States stopping war games on the Korean Peninsula because of cost is “ridiculous,” Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham said Tuesday night.
Graham warns that Trump’s deal with North Korea needs approval from Congress | TheHill
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) on Tuesday said any agreement between the U.S. and North Korea that comes from President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jong Un should come to Congress for approval. 
Coming Attractions: Trump Showed Kim a Faux Movie Trailer About a Transformed North Korea – The New York Times
A four-minute video depicted the two leaders as heroes making history in a summer blockbuster.
Trump showed Kim an iPad video about North Korea’s future | Daily Mail Online
Trump said part of his hard sell to Kim Jong-un about giving up his nuclear weapons was a video that showed the economic benefits of shaking off the chains of near-global economic sanctions.
Marco Rubio slams media ‘hypocrisy’ over Trump-Kim coverage – Washington Times
Sen. Marco Rubio on Tuesday slammed American media for their “hypocrisy” in covering President Trump’s historic meeting with North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un.
Russia Is Quietly Playing Three Roles in the Korean Drama – Defense One
Though it rarely makes the news, Moscow has a critical part as a behind-the-scenes negotiator, spoiler, and unholy ally.
EXCLUSIVE: ‘I do trust him’: Trump opens up about Kim after historic summit – ABC News
In an exclusive interview, ABC News George Stephanopoulos spoke to President Donald Trump about his historic meeting with Kim Jong Un.
Trump’s improvisation faces decades of North Korean preparation – CNNPolitics
Donald Trump’s gut-check negotiating style and fragile patience face a supreme test in his summit with Kim Jong Un of North Korea, a nation that long ago mastered the diplomacy of delay, obfuscation and illusory promises of disarmament.
Trump North Korea summit reveals exactly why it is vital to rebuild the US military | Fox News
Stealth aircraft are America’s power projection asymmetric advantage. Kim knows this.
Trump told Macron EU worse than China on trade – CNNPolitics
President Donald Trump told French President Emmanuel Macron that the European Union is worse than China on trade during a conversation that portended the tense end to this year’s G7 summit.
Trump Economic Adviser Ties G-7 Tension to North Korea Meeting – The New York Times
The adviser, Larry Kudlow, said a “betrayal” by the Canadian prime minister had forced President Trump to take action to avoid being seen as weak before his meeting with Kim Jong-un.
Singapore summit: Will striking a deal with Trump risk Kim’s regime? – CNN
It’s a measure of Kim Jong Un’s confidence as North Korean leader that he’s left his country to meet US President Donald Trump in Singapore, the farthest he’s traveled since taking on his father’s role in 2011.
It looks like China knew about Trump stopping war games before the US military or South Korea did | Business Insider
President Donald Trump said on Tuesday after meeting with Kim Jong Un that the US and South Korea would stop military drills – but it appears China knew about it before the Pentagon did. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that the US and South Korea would stop joint military drills after meeting Kim Jong Un. But the Pentagon and South Korea haven’t heard anything about it, even though China apparently has. US military forces in Korea have not received any direction to cease joint military drills, a spokesman said on Tuesday. The US has long resisted calls to suspend military drills, even when offered a freeze in North Korean missile and nuclear testing in return. It traditionally asserted that bilateral, planned, and transparent military drills are legal while North Korea’s nuclear program is not.
Kim Jong Un is served prawns and Haagen-Dazs at Singapore summit | Daily Mail Online
North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un and President Donald Trump were treated to a six-course meal that included three deserts at their historic summit.
American pilot in serious condition after F-15 crashes off coast of Japan – NY Daily News
U.S. Forces Japan said that the aircraft from the Kadena airbase was on a routine training mission when it went down on Monday.
This Is Bigger Than a Meeting With Kim Jong Un – Defense One
Donald Trump is navigating a new nuclear era—and fashioning a new approach.
Trump, Kim agree on denuclearization, but deal seen symbolic | Reuters
U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pledged on Tuesday to work toward complete denuclearization of the Korean peninsula while Washington committed to provide security guarantees for its old enemy.
Trump-Kim summit pleases China, while Japan puts on brave face
U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un pledged on Tuesday to work toward complete denuclearization of the Korean peninsula while Washington committed to provide security guarantees for its old enemy.
What’s in a historic handshake? Experts break down Trump-Kim summit (opinion) – CNN
CNN Opinion asked a group of expert commentators to weigh in on the historic first meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un.
Atrocities Under Kim Jong-un: Indoctrination, Prison Gulags, Executions – The New York Times
Numerous “crimes against humanity” have taken place in North Korea including murder, forced abortions, religious persecution and starvation, a United Nations commission found in 2014.
A Fox News anchor apologised after accidentally calling Trump a ‘dictator’ | Business Insider
The Fox News anchor Abby Huntsman apologised on Sunday after referring to President Donald Trump as a “dictator” on the air.
Hannity: Trump-Kim Summit as Historic as Reagan-Gorbachev in Reykjavik | Fox News Insider
In his Opening Monologue, Sean Hannity said the historic meeting between President Donald Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un is reminiscent of President Ronald Reagan’s summit with Mikhail Gorbachev in 1986.
Paul: Graham ‘a danger to the country’ for seeking military authorization for North Korea | TheHill
Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) on Monday blasted Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) for drafting an authorization for the use of military force (AUMF) in North Korea should President Trump’s forthcoming meeting with Kim Jong Un go south. 
Rand Paul: Lindsey Graham a danger to country – YouTube
CNN Published on Jun 11, 2018 Republican Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) said his colleague Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) is a “danger to the country” for suggesting that Congress sign an authorization to use military force against North Korea if President Trump and Kim Jong Un should fail to reach a diplomatic agreement.
China warns citizens in Vietnam after protests over economic zones | Reuters
China has warned its citizens in Vietnam after protesters clashed with police over a government plan to create new economic zones for foreign investment that has fueled anti-Chinese sentiment in the country.
Trump-Kim summit overshadowing key moment for US-Taiwan relations — Quartz
While the world watches the summit between president Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un unfold, another significant event will take place elsewhere in Asia. On June 12 in Taipei, Taiwan and the US will jointly mark the establishment of a new facility for the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT), the US’s de facto embassy in…
Trump prepares for North Korea summit as a great performer — like Reagan | Fox News
With the Tuesday summit in Singapore between President Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un just around the corner, a flurry of planning, negotiating, strategizing and perhaps even a bit of finger-crossing is underway.
A Trump-Kim summit could bear fruit. But we need to be smart. – The Washington Post
The meeting in Singapore is just the beginning of a long process that will require persistence and patience to succeed.
From ‘Punk Kid’ to 21st Century Tyrant: Kim Jong Un Seizes His Moment – WSJ
Once seen as a sadistic recluse who lacked the confidence to meet a single foreign leader during his first six years in power, the North Korean dictator is now on a diplomacy blitz, having won a coveted nuclear summit with President Donald Trump. Diplomats say it would be a big mistake to underestimate Mr. Kim—as many initially did.
North Koreans understand their government lies, but there’s one thing they don’t know, according to a defector | Business Insider
North Koreans understand that their government regularly lies to them and feeds them propaganda that contradicts their current situation, but few understand the true discrepancy between their country and the outside world, according to North Korean defector Kim Young-il. North Korean defector Kim Young-il is the 39-year-old founder of People for Successful Corean Reunification (PSCORE). He escaped North Korea at 19 years old. Kim said that it is obvious to North Koreans that the government of Kim Jong Un is lying to the people about the country’s situation and its reality. The one thing it is impossible for North Koreans to understand, however, is how big the difference in prosperity is between their country and developed nations like the US and South Korea.
Why Trump and Kim picked Singapore for meeting
Singapore got the nod from among a list of possible venues floated by experts, which included Switzerland, Mongolia and the Korean demilitarized zone.
Trump says North Korea summit about ‘attitude’ – YouTube
ABC News Published on Jun 8, 2018 President Trump said of his upcoming high-stakes meeting with Kim Jong Un: “I don’t think I have to prepare very much. It’s about attitude.”
A failed Trump-Kim summit would be a catastrophe – CNN
A failed Singapore summit between the United States and North Korea could lead to a nuclear war, writes Ira Helfand. The results would be millions dead.
In upcoming US-North Korea summit, the devil is in the details | TheHill
From the 2018 midterms, to future Iranian negotiations, to the economic prospects of the Korean Peninsula, a lot is riding on the June 12 summit.
Pompeo says North Korea nukes must all go before sanctions end – CNNPolitics
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reiterated US calls for North Korea to completely rid itself of all remnants of its nuclear weapons program before international sanctions are lifted on the pariah nation.
U.S. Plans Joint Statement With North Korea After Summit – WSJ
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the U.S. aims to release a joint statement with North Korea after the Singapore summit, where the two country’s leaders will meet on Tuesday.
Live stream: Secretary of State Mike Pompeo holds a briefing ahead of North Korea summit
USA TODAY will provide live coverage of this event.
Watch: Pompeo addresses White House following meeting with Japan’s Abe
The Secretary of State will take questions following a meeting between President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.
Bolton takes back seat, but remains a looming presence for the North Korea summit
John Bolton appears to have taken a back seat to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo for the historic Trump-Kim meeting.
What China wants from the Trump-Kim summit
China will be closely watching President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s meeting in Singapore next Tuesday, not least because Beijing wants the ultimate deal – for U.S. troops to get out of the Korean Peninsula, said analysts.
Real Estate Jumps In Chinese City Bordering North Korea : NPR
Investors from across China have flooded to Dandong, the commercial gateway to the Korean Peninsula.
North Korea’s leadership loves iPhones, report says | Fox News
North Korea relies heavily on American technology despite being the one of the U.S.’s most staunch opponents.
The U.S. Is Still Clueless About the Creepy ‘Sonic’ Attacks in China and Cuba
Americans are being sent home from the consulate in Guangzhou, China after mystery attacks that resemble those against the Havana embassy.
Kim Jong Un arrives in Singapore for historic summit; meets Singapore PM – CNN
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong on Sunday, hours after arriving in Singapore and ahead of an historic summit with US President Donald Trump. Lee will have a separate meeting with Trump on Monday.
Nixed Iran nuclear deal looms over Trump’s North Korea talks – POLITICO
The president has abandoned what he says was a fatally flawed nuclear deal with Iran, but former U.S. officials contend he’ll be lucky to get a similar agreement with North Korea.
This American Visited North Korea’s Most Sensitive Nuke Sites. What He Saw Blew His Mind. – Foreign Policy
Transcript: Former Ambassador Susan Rice on “Face the Nation,” June 10, 2018 – CBS News
Rice joined us to discuss U.S. goals at the Singapore summit, Mr. Trump's comments about Russia and more


SCO Leaders Meet At China Summit
Several heads of state gathered in the Chinese port city of Qingdao for a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) on June 10. Chinese President Xi Jinping received Russian President Vladimir Putin, Iranian President Hassan Rohani, Pakistani President Mamnoon Hussain, Afghan President Ashraf Ghani, Belarusian President Alyaksandr Lukashenka, and other leaders. Putin and Rohani also held a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the summit. (Reuters, RU-RTR via AP)
Focus On ‘Unity’ As Shanghai Summit Opens In China
Chinese President Xi Jingping has praised the “unity” of the Shanghai Cooperation Agreement (SCO) at the opening ceremony of the organization’s summit in the coastal Chinese city of Quingdao.
China’s Xi Welcomes India, Pakistan To SCO, Hails ‘Unity’
Chinese President Xi Jinping ushered Pakistan and India into the political and economic bloc led by China and Russia as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit got under way in the north…
Chinese newspapers contrast security summit success with G7 disarray | Reuters
State-run Chinese newspapers on Monday crowed about a weekend meeting of a regional security bloc hosted by China, painting it as a harmonious, anti-protectionist counterpoint to the G7 summit in Canada that was marred by acrimony.
Blackwater founder Erik Prince is helping China establish new Silk Road OBOR (One Belt, One Road) — Quartz
For years, China has groomed landlocked Yunnan province in its southwest to be the country’s strategic bridgehead into Southeast Asia, building highways and rail lines to its borders with Vietnam, Laos, and Myanmar to one day weave them into a regional, and eventually, transcontinental transport network. As China pushes ahead with president Xi Jinping’s ambitious…
‘Get Moving’: How Trump Ratcheted Up the Trade Battle With China – WSJ
A tumultuous decision-making process inside the White House led to an abrupt turn toward tariffs. Aides have cursed at one another in front of the president as they struggle to reconcile clashing views.


Chinese missile launchers reappear on disputed South China Sea island – CNN
A series of Chinese missile systems have reappeared on a disputed island in the South China Sea, days after satellite imagery appeared to show they had been removed.
Chinese hackers steal sensitive Navy program data
Cyberattacks sponsored by the Chinese government infiltrated a U.S. Navy contractor’s computers, allowing digital thieves to access sensitive data related to secret Navy projects on a submarine anti-ship missile.
Senator says Chinese hack of Navy contractor ‘very serious’
A Rhode Island Senator is describing the case of a Chinese government hack into a Newport Naval Station as “very serious.”
Chinese attacks on contractors ‘a phenomenon’ on the rise
China’s reported hacking of a Navy defense contractor illustrates the struggle to guard secrets.
China hacked a Navy contractor and secured a trove of highly sensitive data on submarine warfare
The stolen material included secret plans to develop a supersonic anti-ship missile for use on U.S. submarines by 2020, according to officials.
Chinese Hackers Stole Large Amounts of Secret U.S. Submarine-Warfare Data, Military Says – WSJ
The Defense Department’s inspector general is investigating a security breach after Chinese hackers allegedly stole large amounts of sensitive data from a Navy contractor.
China and the Clash of Civilizations
Are US diplomats in Cuba and China being attacked? Here are 4 theories. – Vox
US diplomats in Cuba and China report brain injuries and hearing loss. Here are four theories how that may have happened.
‘Sonic attacks’ eyed in Cuba, China as more US diplomats fall ill: What to know about the mystery illness | Fox News
U.S. diplomats in China are facing a case of déjà vu as several Americans who work at the consulate in the country are being hit with a mysterious illness with symptoms that are eerily similar to those officials first reported in Cuba back in 2016.
The US just made an important link between a mysterious illness in China and strange noises in Cuba | Business Insider
The US has linked a mysterious illness contracted by a government employee in China to strange sounds heard by US diplomats in Cuba for the first time.


Japan Protests Russian Plan To Lay Cable To Disputed Kurile Islands
Japan has lodged a protest against Russia’s plan to lay fiber-optic cables to disputed islands that lay between the two countries, calling the construction work illegal and “extremely deplorable.”
U.S. F-15C fighter jet crashes off Japan’s Okinawa – CBS News
Pilot ejected from F-15C during routine training mission and was rescued, Air Force says
US Air Force fighter jet crashes off Okinawa; pilot ejects | Fox News
A U.S. Air Force F-15C fighter jet from Kadena Air Base crashed into the sea south of Okinawa, Japan, early Monday morning local time, according to defense officials.


Indo-Russian aircraft Deal: DRDO’s technology claim fells $9 billion Indo-Russian aircraft deal
India has already paid $295 million to Russia for the preliminary design phase. Official said termination meant that all this money has now gone ‘down the drain.
US to India: Buy American, Not Russian – Defense One
Officials hope Delhi’s $15 billion in US arms deals over the past decade are just the beginning.
Vietnamese Protest an Opening for Chinese Territorial Interests – The New York Times
Already upset over Chinese claims in the region, demonstrators were protesting economic zones that would allow long leases to foreigners. At least 100 were arrested.
Vietnam cybersecurity law a devastating blow to freedom: Amnesty | Vietnam News | Al Jazeera
New law aims to prevent users from organising online for anti-state purposes and spreading false information.
Vietnam Tightens Grip on Internet With Data-Storage Law – WSJ
Vietnam adopted a cybersecurity law that requires internet companies such as Facebook and Google to store their Vietnam-based users’ data on servers in the country.

 

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