China · Information operations · Information Warfare · North Korea

DPRK / PRC / WESTPAC Ad Hoc Update (33)


Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

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DPRK  “negotiation” with US and China continues – it seems that too many in the Western media have zero comprehension of what is actually happening. Much on the DPRK, especially the status of the test site.

Also much on China’s deployment of air power, including the new J-20, into the First Island Chain TO. China’s new CVA sails, it is a enlarged variant of the Ukrainian Mikolaiv Varyag design.

Interesting reports on India and the peculiar drift of AUS in the direction of Hungary, Poland and other emulators of Russia.


DPRK / PRC / WESTPAC Reports

TRUMP UNCHAINED: President Warns Kim of ‘REGIME CHANGE’ Should Talks Fail | Sean Hannity

President Trump warned North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un of a potential regime change Thursday should both nation’s fail to secure a deal on his nuclear weapons program; saying the ‘Libyan model’ would “likely take place” if peace talks fail. The President was speaking with reporters at the White House when he was asked if he planned on using the ‘Libyan model’ to disarm North Korea; saying that’s not the current approach but could occur should negotiations collapse.

North Korea summit: Trump says Kim Jong-un won’t be deposed – BBC News

The president contradicts remarks by top aide John Bolton that had alarmed the North Korean leader.

Trump warns Kim he could end up like Gaddafi unless he makes nuclear deal – media | UNIAN

Donald Trump has warned Kim Jong-un that North Korea will be “decimated” if it does not agree a nuclear deal, and that Mr. Kim himself will be treated in the same manner as slain Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi. A statement published by the state-run Korea Central News Agency, said North Korea would never accept economic assistance from the U.S. in exchange for unilaterally abandoning its nuclear program.

Trump warns Kim Jong-un he could end up like Libya’s Gaddafi unless he makes nuclear deal | The Independent

Donald Trump has warned Kim Jong-un that North Korea will be “decimated” if it does not agree a nuclear deal, and that Mr Kim himself will be treated in the same manner as slain Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

Trump offers ‘protections’ if Kim surrenders nukes | TheHill

“The best thing he could do is make a deal.”

The US reportedly called Kim Jong Un’s bluff by demanding its nukes — and North Korea is flipping out | Business Insider

North Korea flipped on the US on Tuesday with a sudden series of statements bashing President Donald Trump’s administration. It came not long after a vaunted peace summit between Kim Jong Un and Trump was announced. The complaints Pyongyang made are in some respects difficult to take seriously – and may not be the real reason they’re complaining. Recent reports say that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo asked North Korea to send some of its nuclear weapons overseas for dismantlement. That would be a much large step toward disarming than Pyongyang has taken before. If the US insisted on that demand, it would either prove that Kim Jong Un is sincere – or call his bluff. If North Korea never wanted to actually denuclearize, and has only been playing along to gain international support, then this has been a big win for Kim.

New North Korea Solution Emerges: A Down Payment on Denuclearization – WSJ

A partial surrender of nuclear arms and missiles by North Korea could help break a deadlock between Washington and Pyongyang over how to begin the process of denuclearization.

China tells Trump to stay calm over North Korea threat to cancel nuclear summit | South China Morning Post

Cool heads needed to avoid previous diplomatic failures to bring peace to the Korean peninsula, says China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi

China Urges North Korea Not to Cancel Trump Summit

Call came as President Xi met with delegation from N. Korea’s ruling Worker’s Party, at which he expressed support for the North’s avowed new emphasis on economic development, improving relations with S. Korea

North Korea: Full response to US remarks on Trump-Kim summit – BBC News

Read North Korea’s response to a US official’s remarks, threatening to pull out of the Trump summit.

How Kim Jong Un got cold feet

North Korea has seemingly paid close attention to what U.S. officials are telling cable news.

North Korea does not want to be like East Germany | Americas| North and South American news impacting on Europe | DW | 16.05.2018

Pyongyang’s threat that it is ready to call off the planned meeting between North Korea’s leader and the US president is a reality check for the Trump administration — especially for Mike Pompeo and John Bolton.

North Korea says won’t hold talks with ‘incompetent’ South unless differences settled | Reuters

North Korea’s chief negotiator called the South Korean government “ignorant and incompetent” on Thursday, denounced U.S.-South Korean air combat drills and threatened to halt all talks with the South unless its demands are met.

  1. Korea Downplays N. Korea’s Threats to Cancel Talks | World News | US News

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — South Korea believes North Korea remains committed to improving relations despite strongly criticizing Seoul over ongoing U.S.-South Korean military drills and saying it will not return to inter-Korean talks unless its grievances are resolved.

GOP rep: North Korea likely ‘doing a little bluster right now’ | TheHill

Rep.

North Korea says it won’t meet with ‘incompetent’ South, wants demands met – The Globe and Mail

North Korea on Wednesday said it might not attend the June 12 summit between leader Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump

Gordon Chang: North Korea Uses John Bolton as ‘Excuse’ to Quit Summit | Newsmax.com

North Korea is citing National Security Adviser John Bolton’s comments about Libya as an excuse for raising the possibility of pulling out of next month’s summit with President Donald Trump, according to author Gordon Chang on Newsmax TV’s Newsmax Now on Wednesday.

Is North Korea trying to get John Bolton fired? – CNN

North Korea’s reaction to John Bolton’s talk of the “Libya model” of denuclearization is a sign Pyongyang may be trying to sideline Trump’s hardline advisor in upcoming talks.

  1. Korea unlikely to return to talks with South over drills

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — North Korea strongly criticized South Korea over ongoing U.S.-South Korean military exercises on Thursday and said it will not return to talks with its rival until Seoul resolves its grievances.

Trump’s North Korea Nobel buzz could die with John Bolton – POLITICO

Is Trump’s biggest obstacle to a deal with North Korea his own national security adviser?

Kim’s game of smoke and mirrors

It’s not enough that North Korea should abruptly cancel South-North talks on military tensions and another long-awaited round of reunions of fast-fading families divided by the 1950-53 Korean War. Now we’re not even sure Kim Jong-un will go through with his summit with U.S. President Donald Trump.

Kim Risks Empowering Trump Hawks With Threat to Torpedo Summit – Bloomberg

Kim Jong Un’s regime just launched a blistering attack on John Bolton, one of the most hawkish Trump administration members. North Korea may end up emboldening the U.S. national security adviser instead.

To Succeed With North Korea, Prepare to Fail – Bloomberg

Negotiations haven’t collapsed yet, but the U.S. needs to be ready if they do.

Kim Jong-un Shows True Colors by Threatening to Cancel Trump Meeting – The New York Times

North Korea’s goal remains unchanged: it will not bargain away its nuclear weapons unless Washington removes military threats.

  1. Korea postpones talks with S. Korea, threatens to nix summit with US

North Korea on Wednesday abruptly postponed scheduled high level inter-Korean talks and threatened to pull-out of the summit with the US, taking issue with the ongoing South Korea-US joint military drill and “unfair” demands on denuclearization. US President Donald Trump (left) and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (right). YonhapAccording to Seoul’s Ministry of Unification, the North’s chairman of the Committee f…

North Korea threatens to cancel summit over US-South Korea military air exercises

North Korea canceled a high-level meeting Wednesday with South Korea and threatened also to call off a historic summit planned next month with the United States due to ongoing military exercises between the South and the U.S., South Korea’s Yonhap news agency reported.

The Campaign to Denuclearize North Korea Crashes Back to Earth – Defense One

Kim Jong Un \”has been playing a high-risk, high-return game. And he has never lost a bet thus far.”

Donald Trump ponders North Korean threat to cancel Kim summit

President Donald Trump and aides pondered their response to new North Korean demands that could scuttle the planned summit next month between Trump and Kim Jong Un.

‘We’ll see’: Trump responds to North Korea’s threats to cancel summit – ABC News

The White House says it ‘fully expected’ North Korea’s latest threats to potentially cancel Kim Jong Un’s sit-down with President Trump.

North Korea summit: US hopeful Trump-Kim meet will go ahead – BBC News

North Korea says it may cancel the meeting after a top Trump aide’s “reckless” remarks.

Pompeo: If NKorea Destroys All Nuclear Weapons, US Will Open Investment to Regime | Newsmax.com

Pompeo: If NKorea Destroys All Nuclear Weapons, US Will Open Investment to Regime

Trump calls North Korea pledge to dismantle nuclear test site a ‘smart and gracious gesture!’

North Korea says it will hold a “ceremony” for the dismantling of its nuclear test site on May 23-25 in what would be a dramatic but symbolic event to set up leader Kim Jong Un’s summit with President Donald Trump next month.

Kim’s Charm Offensive Pressures Trump Before Summit – Bloomberg

Kim Jong Un is turning on the charm ahead of his summit with Donald Trump, adding pressure on the U.S. president to ease sanctions against North Korea even before it’s made any significant concessions.

Ex-CIA Gates: With NKorea, Trump’s ‘Tactical Unpredictability’ an ‘Asset’ | Newsmax.com

Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates says President Trump has a lot of cards to play with North Korea and admitted Trump’s standing up to Kim’s bombastic threats – and sanctions forcing a thirst for Kim to work a deal to save his sinking economy – helped get the U.S. into substantive talks of denuclearization.

North Korea, US in talks over denuke roadmap

North Korea will dismantle its nuclear test site in Punggye-ri between May 23 and 25, the first step toward its “complete denuclearization” in line with an agreement reached between the leaders of the two Koreas, April 27.

Meet Kim Jong Un, the Korean G.O.A.T. | TheHill

Having raised his popularity profile and expectations of world peace, the North Korean leader is further taming his suitors by threatening to walk away from denuclearization talks.

Pompeo: U.S. firms may invest in North Korea if it meets demands | Reuters

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Sunday that if North Korea agrees to fully dismantle its nuclear weapons program, then the United States will allow the American private sector to invest in the country.

US offers to help rebuild North Korea economy

The US will help rebuild North Korea’s economy if it agrees to give up its nuclear weapons, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said.

Americans Support Talks With North Korea, Remain Skeptical of Outcome – All About America

With the summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un set for June 12 in

Security Brief: Unclear U.S. Demands on North Korea; Iran Deal Fall Out – Foreign Policy

 

North Korean Waitresses Who ‘Escaped’ Say They Were Actually Kidnapped By South

“It was luring and kidnapping, and I know because I took the lead,” said the manager who led the group to defect.

US Hopes North Korea Will Become Close Partner, Pompeo Says | Political News | US News

WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States aspires to have North Korea as a “close partner” and not an enemy, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said, noting that the U.S. has often in history become good friends with former adversaries.

Secretary Of State Pompeo Meets With South Korean Counterpart : NPR

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and his South Korean counterpart met at the State Department on Friday. The meeting comes on the heels of Pompeo’s visit to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un

Koreas to hold high-level denuclearization talks | TheHill

Leaders from North and South Korea on Wednesday will hold talks over plans to denuclearize the peninsula,

US ready to provide N Korea with assurances if it denuclearises: Mike Pompeo

Mike Pompeo, who returned from North Korea a day earlier after meeting with Kim, said he had ‘good conversation’ with the leader.

North Korea: Dismantling Kim Jong Un’s nukes would be complex, costly

If President Trump is successful in convincing Kim Jong Un to dismantle North Korea’s nuclear weapons program the undertaking would be unprecedented in its size, analysts say.

Opinion | What It Would Mean to End the Korean War – The New York Times

North and South Korea were pawns in their own war. Let them be the main actors in finally making peace.

North Korea’s long history of broken promises

Official site of The Week Magazine, offering commentary and analysis of the day’s breaking news and current events as well as arts, entertainment, people and gossip, and political cartoons.

North Korea to hold ‘ceremony’ dismantling nuclear site ahead of Trump’s summit with Kim | Fox News

North Korea has scheduled a “ceremony” to dismantle its nuclear site sometime between May 23 and 25 in order to uphold its pledge to discontinue nuclear tests, state media said on Saturday.

North Korea to finish dismantling nuclear test site ‘within two weeks’

A ceremony to mark the destruction of the site will take place just weeks before Kim Jong Un meets Donald Trump in Singapore.

SKorean Military Says NKorea Preparing Nuke Site Closure | World News | US News

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — North Korea will invite eight South Korean journalists as part of an international media group to witness the closure of its nuclear test site next week, the South’s government said Tuesday.

How North Korean hackers became the world’s greatest bank robbers

The Reconnaissance General Bureau, North Korea’s equivalent to the CIA, has trained up the world’s greatest bank-robbing crews. In just the past few years, RGB hackers have struck more than 100 banks…

A Quarter Century of Twists and Turns From North Korea – WSJ

North Korea over the past 25 years has altered course or backtracked on a string of international commitments pertaining to its weapons programs.

Pentagon Denies B-52s Part of Drills as North Korea Threatens Summit | Military.com

A Pentagon spokesman said the strategic bombers were never scheduled to be part of the joint exercises with South Korea.

Chinese J-20 stealth fighter jets carry out first sea training mission | South China Morning Post

Drill was conducted in ‘actual war conditions’, China’s air force says

Russia’s Most Deadly Fighter Ever Is Ready for War (In China’s Air Force) | The National Interest Blog

Yes, this happened.

How an ageing Russian passenger jet became a key part of China’s military intelligence gathering | South China Morning Post

Tupolev’s Tu-154M has been plagued by fatal accidents over its four decades of operation, but a modified version still plays a vital role in the PLA’s operations

China Flies 4 Heavy Long-Range Bombers, Spy Planes Near Japan | The Diplomat

Japan scrambled fighter jets in response.

China’s first homegrown aircraft carrier heads out for sea trial – CNN

China’s first domestically built aircraft carrier began sea trials on Sunday, a historic step in the country’s mission to build a navy capable of rivaling the world’s leading maritime powers.

China’s Navy Prepares to Close the Gap on the U.S. | RealClearDefense

Highlights Barring significant internal strife, an economic collapse or a major war, China’s navy will continue its significant rise in the decades to come and continue to close the gap on its…

The Aviationist » China Launches First Domestically Built Aircraft Carrier

New Carrier Continues Expansion of Chinese Expeditionary Capability. China launched its first domestically produced aircraft carrier earlier this week at the northeastern port of Dalian, in the south of Liaoning Province, China. The new ship has not been named yet and carries the temporary designation “Type 001A”. The new Type 001A is a slightly larger vessel than China’s previous aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, that was purchased from Ukraine in 1999 and originally built in 1985 in the then-Soviet Union as a Kuznetsov-class aircraft cruiser. Liaoning has had three names: first christened as the Riga under Soviet use, then renamed the Varyag and finally the Liaoning after the Chinese purchase in 1999. Analysts report the primary role of the Liaoning has been a training vessel for the development of Chinese carrier doctrine and operations. The new Type 001A is 315 meters long and 75 meters wide as compared to the slightly smaller Liaoning that is 304 meters long and 70 meters wide. Both ships displace roughly 50,000 tons, significantly less than the Nimitz-class carriers with a loaded displacement of between 100,000–104,000 tons. The U.S. Nimitz-class carriers are also longer at 333 meters.

U.S. Is Asia’s Strongest Power, but China Is Catching Up and Russia Is Helping

China is rapidly gaining on the U.S. lead in Asia, but its quick growth requires more energy. That’s where Russia comes in.

A short war. “Shot Across the Bow” by Beijing to Washington in the South China Sea | Pravda.ru

The US suffered a second significant defeat in the war for their world influence after the Crimean referendum. And if the first was done by Russia, then the second one is by China. The missile defense of this country now controls the South China Sea … Читайте больше на https://www.pravda.ru/world/asia/09-05-2018/1383519-0/

Do China’s Missiles in the South China Sea Mean War? | The National Interest Blog

Or has Beijing now cemented its claim?

Donald Trump has read a lot of books on China: ‘I understand the Chinese mind’

Donald Trump recently reeled off an impressive list of Chinese books that he has read over the years that has helped him understand the nation and people that he does business with. “I’ve read hundreds of books about China over the decades,” Trump told Xinhua, the official news agency of the People’s Republic of China. “I know the Chinese. I’ve made a lot of money with the Chinese. I understand the Chinese mind,” said the billionaire, who has continually stated that if he were president he would levy a 25% tax on Chinese imports. Asked to name any of his favorite tomes on China, Trump reportedly listed the following 20 books right off the top of his head.

Kremlin says had no talks with Rosneft on South China Sea drilling | Reuters

Russian state oil giant Rosneft (ROSN.MM) had no consultations with the Kremlin on drilling in the South China Sea, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday.

China’s Greatest Ally in Trump Trade Talks May Be North Korea – Bloomberg

North Korea may turn out to be Chinese President Xi Jinping’s greatest ally in negotiating a trade deal with President Donald Trump.

On Trade, the U.S. and China Consider the Unthinkable: Breaking Up – The New York Times

Complete disengagement is impossible, but both Washington and Beijing envision a day when they don’t need each other as much to power their economies.

Defence buys won’t be dictated by the US: India on Russia sanctions | india news | Hindustan Times

On May 21, Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be in Sochi for a “four- six hour” informal summit, which would mostly be a series of one-to-one meetings with Russian president Vladimir Putin, a source said.

‘No power can influence New Delhi’s defence plans’

Sources further said, “Our relationship with Russia is a very old, trusted and deep-rooted one.

How do Australia’s Foreign Interference Laws Compare to Draconian States? | PBA

The suite of controversial foreign interference laws proposed by the Australian government have been described by their critics as draconian, but how does the Australian legislation compare to what is being implemented in other countries?

Federal government’s foreign donations bill is flawed and needs to be redrafted

If the purpose of this bill is to prevent foreign donations from influencing elections, it manifestly does not achieve that outcome.

Anne Twomey – The Conversation

Anne Twomey’s profile on The Conversation

Embrace the fourth industrial age—or become a backwater | The Strategist

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