With Russia’s pet DPRK swallowing most MSM bandwidth, Russia has a minor respite. Ukraine submits UN peacekeeper proposal, while criticism of the Russian play continues. While Russia qualifies as a state sponsor of terrorism, it has yet to be classed as one notes Turchenov. Multiple Zapad 2017 reports.Russian and CIS ISIS members expected to return to Russia. Multiple reports on corruption and political repression, and Venezuela cannot service its considerable debt to Russia – Su-30MKV fighters, S-300VM/V4 SAM/ABMs, Buk M2E SAMs, and a long list of
Russian and CIS ISIS members expected to return to Russia. Multiple reports on corruption and political repression, and Venezuela cannot service its considerable debt to Russia – Su-30MKV fighters, S-300VM/V4 SAM/ABMs, Buk M2E SAMs, and a long list of other state of the art sharp end equipment. In Belarus, a protest against Zapad 2017 is held in Minsk. Kidnapped Ukrainian teenager has
In Belarus, a protest against Zapad 2017 is held in Minsk. Kidnapped Ukrainian teenager has serious medical condition and is at risk – the FSB was thoughtful in choosing its hostage.In
In Moldova Putinist Pres Dodon threatens to fire acting defense chief Galbura, while troops exercise in Ukraine.Kyiv sees another assassination by
Kyiv sees another assassination by car bomb, the victim being a Chechen volunteer militiaman fighting in Donbass – unclear whether this was the FSB/GRU or Kadyrov’s hitmen. Interesting essays by Horbulin and Wilk. Donbass fires continue. Time lapse video of Russian night fires in Avdiivka. Polish Ukrainian PT-17 MBT unveiled – possibly the most extensive rebuild of the T-72 hull seen to date. The new look high tech Mosin-Nagant, with ridiculous numbers recovered from the salt mine store, this could become an affordable crowd pleaser. Multiple Crimea reports, none pretty.
Allen’s appraisal of the DPRK is very good – it is a form of Stalinist feudalism, and the ossified beliefs that entails. Huang and Lahira attempt to summarise Beijing agendas. Argumentation over sanctions continues.
Davis explores the DPRK, deterrence issues, and the ethics of dealing with such a dysfunctional regime.
Russia in all four IO/Cyber articles.
US domestic topics on Russia all deal with fakery in various forms.
Russia / Russophone Reports
The Ukrainian delegation at the United Nations headquarters in New York has recently submitted a draft resolution on the deployment of peacekeepers in Donbas to its partners in the UN Security Council, Deputy head of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko's administration Kostiantyn Yeliseyev said on Ukrainian TV Channel on Friday evening. News 09 September from UNIAN.
08.09.17 17:20 – FM Klimkin on Kremlin’s peacekeepers statements: It’s an element of political schizophrenia The Kremlin scenario for introduction of peacekeepers in the Donbas is a manipulation with elements of political schizophrenia. The Kremlin scenario for introduction of peacekeepers in the Donbas is a manipulation with elements of “political schizophrenia.” Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin told Ukrinform, Censor.NET reports. “It’s an expected manipulation the point of which is that Russia is aiming at recognition of the terrorists it supports on the occupied area of the Donbas. It’s a vain attempt to put this peace process into some virtual reality. And shake up all we’ve achieved over this time with the help of our partners,” Klimkin said. The second manipulation is to introduce the peacekeepers along the demarcation line only. “It’s a real path to freezing the situation as it is. So here we have Russia’s attempt to legalize its colony on the occupied area of the Donbas,” the minister said. Klimkin believes the Kremlin initiatives are senseless. “Moreover, I see an element of a political schizophrenia in it. Moscow declares it’s trying to help OSCE and SMM mission. But how? By placing peacekeepers along the demarcation line only! It will only make the SMM work more difficult, for you can’t have two missions with different territorial mandate. It’s so crazy, both funny and sad,” Klimkin added. The minister says that Ukraine and the U.N. member countries understand these manipulation attempts extremely well. On Sept. 5, Russian President Putin said deployment of U.N. peacekeepers in the Donbas was quite appropriate for solving of the conflict in the region, but only along the line of contact and with the aim of protecting the OSCE mission. Ukraine’s representative in Humanitarian subgroup of the Tripartite contact group in Minsk talks, deputy speaker of Ukrainian parliament Iryna Herashchenko commented on Putin’s statement and said the Kremlin scenarios will fail; peacekeepers must be introduced across all Russia-occupied territories.
Ukraine's Permanent Representative to the United Nations Volodymyr Yelchenko predicts that the decision-making process regarding the UN peacekeeping mission in Donbas will last at least until the next year.
A draft resolution of the Russian Federation on the UN peacekeeping mission in the east of Ukraine found no support among the members of the UN Security Council. Ukraine’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations Volodymyr Yelchenko said this in an exclusive interview with Ukrinform. “As of today, almost none of the members of the UN Security Council, except for Russia, spoke in favor of their ideas. Someone just did not say anything. The overwhelming majority said it made no sense to work in a format proposed by Moscow,” the Ukrainian representative commented on the situation in the Security Council. As known, on September 5, the Russian delegation sent to UN Secretary-General António Guterres and Security Council President Tekeda Alemu a draft resolution on the deployment of peacekeepers along the conflict line in Donbas.
Putin want to convince the international community that there is no occupation in the Donbas but an “uprising,” a “civil war.” Vitaly Portnikov Vladimir Putin is not interested in having UN peacekeepers in the Donbas but in preventing Ukrainian proposals on the deployment of peacekeepers from becoming a topic of international discussion. The Russian mission at the UN delivered Moscow’s proposal on the introduction of peacekeepers into the conflict zone in the Donbas to the UN General Secretary. This demonstrated once again that the statement of Russian President Vladimir Putin was not spontaneous and that Moscow had carefully prepared another propaganda campaign designed to demonstrate its interest in resolving the situation. But I would not place too much hope in a change in Putin’s approach to events in the Donbas, nor would I support his initiative, as the German Minister for Foreign Affairs Sigmar Gabriel has already done. A careful analysis of Putin’s statement suggests that the Russian president is not interested in having UN peacekeepers appear in the zone of conflict but rather in preventing Ukrainian proposals on the deployment of peacekeepers from becoming an important topic for international discussion. Putin says that peacekeepers in the Donbas may be deployed only after a ceasefire and the withdrawal of heavy weapons. This is the first point of the Minsk agreements. This is a point Moscow could have implemented many times already, but for some reason is in no hurry to do so. It is in no hurry because the Kremlin is perfectly aware that the cessation of the bombardment of Ukraine would greatly limit the opportunities to destabilize the situation in our country. And this is clearly not in Russia’s interests. Putin wants the peacekeepers to appear exclusively on the line of demarcation of the occupied territories. Simply put, this would mean transferring the Russian border. The point of having peacekeepers is precisely that they would be able to control the part of the border between Russia Ukraine that is now under Moscow’s control. This is the beginning of the transitional period for the return of Ukraine’s control. But Putin’s proposals do not even have the beginning of such a period in mind. He wants to secure the freedom to act in the Donbas for himself. And, at the same time, to be protected by the decision of the UN Security Council. And, finally, what is most important is what Putin said at the very end. It is that the deployment of the UN peacekeeping contingent is possible only under conditions of direct contact with the leadership of the “people’s republics.” This is what the Russian ruler has been trying to impose on Ukraine literally from the first days of the war in the Donbas — the acknowledgement that the Russian puppets who were made leaders of the “people’s republics” in Donetsk and Luhansk really represent someone other than the invaders. He wants to prove to the international community that there is no occupation in the Donbas but an “uprising,” a “civil war.” It is clear that discussions with Zakharchenko and Plotnytsky (heads of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk “people’s republics” — Ed.) about the possibility of deploying UN peacekeepers into “their” territory is a surefire step toward legitimizing the “people’s republics.” And, perhaps, it is precisely for this reasons that Putin began to talk about peacekeepers.
Vladimir Putin has proposed sending armed peacekeepers to Donbas, but only to the border between Russia’s proxy “republics” and Ukrainian controlled territory, leaving the Russian-Ukrainian border unmonitored and open for providing the Russian-backed militants with Russian fuel, weapons, and manpower. Starting from 2015, Russia had sabotaged Ukraine’s efforts to deploy armed peacekeepers to Donbas. Russia’s proposal is likely to freeze the conflict, not establish peace in the war zone. Having ignored all previous Ukrainian proposals to deploy UN peacekeepers to eastern Ukraine, Putin now claims that Russia is drafting a resolution for the UN Security Council (UNSC) to send peacekeepers to patrol the front line in the Donbas. What is the reason for such a shift in Russian policy and where is the catch?
Sweden’s former PM makes a very convincing case for both arming Ukraine with Javelin missiles as well as standing up to Putin and forcing him to back down out of Ukraine. Apparently, the US is seriously considering arming Ukraine with Javelins and this causes Putin to tremble. Yeah, I know, I’m going to get a…
ISIS, North Korea, and Russia today stand on the same level and threaten the world security
Russia’s Defence Ministry on Saturday criticized German Defence Minister Ursula von der Leyen, saying it was bewildered by her assertion that Moscow planned to send more than 100,000 troops to war games on NATO’s eastern flank this month.
The Ukrainian President has warned that Russia’s latest military drill shows it is preparing its forces for war in Eastern Europe. Petro Poroshenko said that Moscow’s latest military exercise, which is due to be held in Belarus next week with up to 100,000 troops expected to mobilise on the EU’s eastern borders, demonstrated its increasing ambitions in the region.
Belgian F-16 fighters intercepted two Russian Air Force Su-27 jets and a cargo aircraft over the Baltic Sea during an air-policing mission, NATO said on Wednesday. On the afternoon of September 5, 2017, a NATO radar picked up two Russian Federation Air Force fighter jets leaving Kaliningrad airspace heading north in international airspace. The military aircraft did not communicate their identity and were not in contact with civilian Air Traffic Control agencies. In line with standard procedures, the Belgian F-16s then took to the skies to identify the Russian Federation Air Force Su-27 jets, which subsequently joined up with a Russian Il-76 heavy cargo aircraft. All Russian aircraft returned to Kaliningrad and the Belgian F-16 jets safely landed at Ämari Air Base. With the goal of safeguarding the airspace over the European Allies, NATO’s peacetime 24/7 Air Policing mission is overseen by Allied Air Command at Ramstein and its two Combined Air Operations Centres at Uedem, Germany, in the North and Torrejon, Spain, in the south.
They’ve been called pretext for mischief in the Baltics and Poland. They’ve been called a stealthy way to occupy Belarus. They’ve been called Kremlin saber-rattling, a message to the West, and very expensive and noisy psyop. And they’ve been called routine military exercises that are nothing more than business as usual. But whatever you call them, the joint Russian-Belarusian Zapad 2017 military exercises that will begin next week seem to have everybody’s attention. So what should we expect when we’re expecting Zapad? On this week’s Power Vertical Podcast, we look ahead to next week’s massive war games, Russia’s largest since the end of the Cold War. Joining me will be co-host Mark Galeotti, a senior research fellow at the Czech Institute of International Relations, head of its Center for European Security, and author of the blog In Moscow’s Shadows; and military analyst Michael Kofman, a research scientist at the CNA Corporation and a fellow at the Wilson Institute’s Kennan Institute. Also on the Podcast, Mark, Michael, and I take a closer look at the capabilities of the Russian military that will be on display next week. Enjoy…
While a recent RAND Corporation study concluded that Russia could overrun NATO’s member states Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania in the Baltics
Paul Goble Staunton, September 8 – There is a potentially explosive downside for Moscow to the defeat of ISIS in Syria: More than 5,000 Russian citizens and 5,000 other Russian speakers from CIS countries had been fighting for the Islamic State, and those not killed or captured in the Middle East will likely return to their homelands and possibly continue terrorist activities there. Anton Chablin of the Svobodnaya pressa portal spoke with two specialists who have focused on what Moscow might do to counter this threat, Rais Suleymanov, a Moscow specialist on Islam who edits Musulmansky mir, and Mikhail Roshchin, a senior scholar at the Moscow Institute of Oriental Studies (svpressa.ru/war21/article/181018/). Their comments suggest that Moscow is a long way from figuring out what to do and that hundreds if not thousands of ISIS fighters are likely to find their way back to Russia or to other CIS countries, with all the frightening consequences that would likely have. Russia faces a threat from such returnees, Suleymanov says, even if they are returned under arrest. Such people would quickly fill up Russian prisons and camps and engage in active recruitment there, something Islamist radicals have done in the past. But the greater danger is that they will slip in and then engage in illegal activities. One approach now under discussion, he continues, is to deprive all those who fought for ISIS of Russian citizenship. That would mean that they would be excluded from returning and, if under arrest, would remain in the custody of Syria or Iraq, states that would then have to decide “what to do with these people according to their own laws.” Some of these captives may be executed, Suleymanov suggests; others sentenced to lengthy prison terms; and still a third group, seeking the best for themselves, may seek to obtain Syrian or Iraqi citizenship and then move about on that basis. Roshchin agrees that Russians and CIS country nationals who have fought for ISIS are a danger. He suggests that at a minimum, Russia and the others must put them on watch lists and deny them entrance, although unless all do, some of these people may enter via one country and then move to another, including Russia. But neither man on this occasion at least acknowledge that many of these fighters may be able to return to their countries the same way they left, by illegal underground means. And to the extent that happens, Moscow and other CIS capitals may not even know they are there until there is a terrorist act.
Russian opposition activist Sergei Udaltsov, who was released from prison in August, has been summoned for questioning by federal investigators over the same 2012 protest that landed him in custody. …
Despite signs of voter apathy, opposition candidates in the Russian capital are cautiously optimistic about their chances ahead of municipal elections. Considering the relatively large number o…
Vladimir Zhirinovsky, the leader of the Liberal Democratic Party in Russia, has asked the Russian Investigative Committee to seek the release of acclaimed director Kirill Serebrennikov from hous…
The son of a Russian lawmaker has pleaded guilty for his role in a cybertheft ring that allegedly stole over $50 million using hacked credit-card information, the U.S. Justice Department announced o…
MOSCOW — Aleksandra Rastorguyeva, a university student with messy, cropped hair and a mischievous smile, looks more street protester than city councilor. But on a recent evening after class…
Russian technology companies will lose out on state orders unless they switch to using home-grown software, Russian President Vladimir Putin was quoted as saying on Friday.
The Russian finance ministry wants to find a solution on how Venezuela will fulfill its debt obligations to Moscow by the end of this year, a senior ministry official said on Friday.
Russian Finance Minister AntonSiluanov told reporters on Friday that Venezuela is havingproblems with fulfilling its obligations on its debt to Russia.
About 200 people held an unauthorized rally in Minsk on September 8 to protest against joint Belarusian-Russian military exercises, dubbed Zapad 2017 (West 2017), which are scheduled to be held in Belarus and parts of western Russia on September 14-20. (AP)
The action against the West-2017 military exercises was held in the center of Minsk. September 8 — the Day of the Belarusian Military Glory. The action, which was organized by the Belarusian National Congress, started at 7 p.m. today in the Kastrychnitskaya Square in Minsk. Then the participants of the action went to the place of taking the Oath of Freedom — the monument to Yakub Kolas. 500 people participated in the Warning Action. They adopted a resolution by single vote. The resolution says the following: — We, the patriots of Belarus, express our protest against dragging our country into Russia’s military confrontation against Ukraine and the NATO block. We support the paragraph of the Constitution regarding “Belarus’s striving for neutrality” and don’t want any alien troops on our land. We reckon the West-2017 exercises as a threat to the sovereignty of our country. We honour the memory of our ancestors — the warriors of Krutahorye, the battle of Siniya Vody, Grunwald, Kletsk, Vorsha; Kalinouski’s insurgents, Slutsk rebels and the guerrillas of the Second World war. We consider their feat a high example of serving the Homeland and warn all possible aggressors about our readiness to defend the independence of Belarus with weapons. Long Live Belarus! It was announced that the Outraged Belarusians’ March-2 will be held on October 20 in Belarus. Charter97.org was covering the event live. The video materials have been provided by Radio Liberty, Belsat TV and Nasha Niva.
BELSAT support Streaming live 20 hours ago http://belsat.eu/?p=604168 We show “aktsaya warning” hell pachatok and end.
The MPs planned to participate in the discussion on the topic of the West-2017 military exercises. Six Lithuanian MPs who intended to participate in an event organized by the Belarusian opposition on Monday in Minsk, could not obtain Belarusian visas, delfi.lt reports. The MPs were going to participate in the discussion “Regional Security: Challenges and Prospects” at the invitation of Chairman of the United Civil Party Anatol Liabedzka. Conservator Laurynas Kasčiūnas confirmed that none of the members of the Lithuanian delegation was issued a Belarusian visa. Apart from him, the following MPs planned to pay a visit to Minsk: two his colleagues by party Rasa Juknevičienė, Audronius Ažubalis; Gintaras Steponavičius, who terminated his membership in the Lithuanian Liberal Movement; “agrarian” Egidijus Vareikis and social semocrat Rimantė Šalaševičiūtė. “We were to discuss regional security, to participate in the event at the invitation of Liabedzka, all representatives of the opposition should have been there. We were supposed to participate on Monday, so, probably, we will do it “via Skype”, it will not be easy to turn us off, ” — Laurynas Kasčiūnas said. — “The message we wanted to bring is obvious — we want an independent, self-sustained neighbor, and we hope that after the military exercises this independence will remain, especially in the military sphere.” According to him, the main focus of the discussion was to be the joint Russian-Belarusian military exercises West-2017 starting next week. “We wanted an independent Belarus, but, apparently, the dialogue which is going on has a rather selective character, from Lukashenka’s side. He got scared of six MPs,” —
The historical meaning of the victory of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania over Muscovy. Once no one could ignore the rulers of the Belarusian lands, and the territory of our duchy was inferior in area only to France. The glory of the battle of Vorsha, which is included in the textbooks on military tactics, is still enormous today. The Belarusian army did the impossible and demolished the three-fold superior army of Moscow. The website charter97.org asked representative of the Belarusian National Congress in Hrodna Siarhei Verameyenka how the history of our state would have evolved if our troops had developed their military success; and why it is important to raise real Belarusian patriots. —Today Belarusians celebrate the Day of the Military Glory. In 1514, a famous battle took place near Vorsha, on the Krapivenskaye field. It was a unique battle from the point of view of the military tactics, the Belarusian army triumphed over the three-fold superior army of Muscovy. With what battle in the world history would you compare the battle of Vorsha? — Our military commanders and the whole army of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, which was always inferior to the Moscow troops, was famous for always using advanced tactics. If we take the battle of Vorsha, which became a classic military example, Kanstantsin Astrozhski became the author of a tactical method of entrapping the enemy. It was actively used until the beginning of the 20th century. Then this method was repeatedly used during the civil war at the territory of the former Russian Empire. It was the use of bright, provocative tactics that made our commanders real geniuses of military art. — History does not know any conjunctive mood. But if we imagine that the Grand Duchy of Lithuania had secured several more such victories, how would the course of history have changed? — It’s hard to answer such questions. One thing is for sure: we would live in a great country. When I say “great,” I mean not only the territory, but also the inner greatness of the country. This should be learnt. Unfortunately, our government shows a negative example. What kind of a patriotic education we are talking about, when Lukashenka has not yet determined which nationality he is: either Belarusian, or “Russian with a quality mark”, then some Ukrainian roots emerge. Such people cannot take responsibility for their country. And we could live in a completely different country, because once Smolensk, Tver, Ryazan, Bryansk were ethnically Belarusian lands. We live in a very interesting time, when no one knows what will happen next. The time of real “tectonic” changes. Maybe someday around the Republic of Muscovy there will remain the Novgorod Republic, Tatarstan, Bashkiria, Yakutia and other countries. Then, fraternal peoples who live on the territory of the Russian Empire will respond to our call for freedom.
National flags appeared in different places of Vorsha this morning.
On September 8, at 7 pm, the prevention rally will become a moment of truth for the Belarusians.
Father of Ukrainian Pavlo Gryb, kept in a detention centre in Krasnodar, said about possible fatal outcome of his son being kept there without medication, as he told Radio.Svoboda. “I wrote applications, added documents about his bad health condition, that he needed supervision, medicine, that it was dangerous to keep him in detention, it could be fatal. We are worried that something irreparable may happen to our child. And nobody will be able to help there – a hemorrhage could start,” he said. As it was reported earlier Pavlo Gryb went to Belarus on August 24, and contact with him was lost. His father told he had gone to Belarus to meet a girl he knew from social networks. Later on, Pavlo Gryb was found at Krasnodar prison in Russia.
A Ukrainian teenager who was allegedly lured into Belarus by the Russian security services is being held in Russia on suspicion of terrorism-related crimes, according to a copy of an official Russia…
Alya Shandra Russia’s FSB has confirmed that the Ukrainian teenager Pavlo Hryb, who went missing in Belarus on 24 August 2017, is being kept in the pre-trial detention center #5 in the southern Russian city of Krasnodar, the official representative of the department of the consular service of Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Vasyl Kyrylych told RFE/RL on 7 September 2017. Kyrylych told that the administration of the FSB of the Russian Federation notified the Ukrainian consulate in Rostov-on-Don that the 19-year-old Ukrainian was being held on charges of committing a crime in accordance with Part 1 of Article 205 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation, which is terrorist activity, punishable with 10 to 15 years in jail. He added that Ukrainian representatives in Russia are investigating how Hryb was detained and that the Ukrainian MFA has demanded Hryb be provided with consular access, a lawyer, and be provided with the daily medication he requires. The young man has a blood circulatory condition which can result in a fatal bleeding if the Russian abductors use force against him. Before his journey to Belarus, he was preparing for an operation.
Transnistria / Moldova Reports
The first phase of the international military exercise Rapid Trident 2017 has started in Ukraine, as the Ministry of Defense informs. American partners from one of the US military air bases came to Ukraine for the drills, in order to teach Ukrainian pilots how to cooperate with other types of military under various conditions. As it was reported earlier, military from Moldova arrived for the drills despite their president’s prohibition.
Moldovan President Igor Dodon has demanded the dismissal of acting defense chief Gheorghe Galbura after the military sent soldiers to a multinational training exercise in Ukraine against th…
Provision of army efficiency is government’s duty, – Pavel Filip. The Prime Minister of Moldova Pavel Filip commented on the participation of the Moldovan militaries in drills in Ukraine at the joint briefing with the Ukrainian Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman. He noted that Moldova is the parliamentarian republic and the duty of the government is the provision of the army’s efficiency as Interfax-Ukraine reported. ‘It is our inner issue and we will cope with it inside the country. First of all, some authorities forget that we ar the parliamentarian republic. And secondly, the government has a duty to provide the efficiency of the army’, he said. According to Filip, this issue is discussed by the majority of the parliament. ‘I will never understand these internal issues when everyone knows that the non-participation of the army in different drills leads to the weakening of the army and then the question who is interested in it is raised. We will never allow this to happen’, he said. Volodymyr Groysman noted that Ukraine supports the deepening of the cooperation between the Armed Forces of both countries. ‘We as the country absolutely support the deepening of the cooperation and interaction in the military sphere and cooperation of our armed forces’, he said. Earlier, the Moldovan Government approved the decision that allows the militaries to participate in the drills. The President of Moldova Igor Dodon prohibited the militaries to take part in the Rapid Trident-2017 drills in Ukraine. He stopped the work of the governmental resolution, insisting that the decision of the participation of the army in the drills beyond the country should be made by the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces that is a president. However, the Prime Minister Pavel Filip urged the parliamentarians to find the way to send the Moldovan contingent to the drills as NewsMaker reported. According to him, the undrilled army is not wanted by anyone’. ‘The visit for drills to Ukraine was canceled. Five visits were canceled the same way before. I think there are no grounds for such decision’, Filip claimed. According to him, if the 80% of the participation in the drills is paid by the partners and organizers that the refusal to take part in the drills already costs about 280 000 of dollars for Moldova. The Prime Minister insisted to put the issue of the participation of the militaries in the drills to the order of the day. Dodon ordered to check the military units of the National Army of Moldova due to the dispatch of the militaries to the international Rapid Trident-2017 military drills. The Moldovan militaries arrived in Ukraine for the international Rapid Trident-2017 military drills on September 8.
A car exploded in the center of the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, killing the driver, who was identified by police as a member of a Ukrainian volunteer battalion who fought against Russia-backed separatists in the country’s east. Timur Makhauri, a Chechen with Georgian citizenship, died when his black Toyota Camry with Georgian plates exploded in rush hour traffic on September 8, injuring two bystanders, one seriously. (RFE/RL’s Ukrainian Service)
KYIV — A bomb has exploded in a car in the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv, killing one man and injuring two other people in what police suspect is the fourth targeted car bombing in just over a year. …
On 8 September at 18:08 a car blast rocked the area of Bessarabska Ploshcha in the center of Kyiv. Preliminarily, an unidentified explosive device was planted in the Black Toyota Camry with a Georgian registration plate. The spokesman for the Ministry of Internal Affairs Artem Shevchenko has reported that Timur Makhauri, a national of Georgia, died in the accident. Two more passengers were in the car, a woman was brought in hospital, a child survived, according to Shevchenko.
The moment of the explosion of the car of Georgian citizen Timur Makhauri in central Kyiv was recorded by the surveillance camera.
The article deals with the problem of forming a new hybrid world order, starting point of which was the Russian aggression against Ukraine.
Articlle by Poland Centre for Eastern Studies (Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich im. Marka Karpia)
Russia's hybrid military forces attacked Ukrainian army positions in Donbas 35 times in the past 24 hours, with five Ukrainian soldiers reported as wounded in action (WIA), according to the press service of the Anti-Terrorist Operation (ATO) Headquarters. News 09 September from UNIAN.
Thursday, September 7, 2017 The Kremlin’s Irregular Army: Ukrainian Separatist Order of Battle By Franklin Holcomb Russian President Vladimir Putin’s political-military campaign in Ukraine undermines Ukraine’s sovereignty and threatens Europe more than three years after Russia’s invasion. The Kremlin, in violation of agreements it has signed, fuels the conflict in pursuit of its goal to…
On 20 February 2014, 48 participants of Ukraine’s pro-western Euromaidan protests were shot by the Berkut riot police. Shortly after, the protesters won, then-president Yanukovych fled, and a pro-western government came to power. A lengthy investigation into crimes committed against the protesters was launched. According to its results, 25 members of the Berkut police from the “Black Company” and their deputy commander Oleh Yanyshevskyi carry responsibility for the death of their fellow unarmed citizens. However, only 5 of those suspected in the killings will go to trial or face responsibility: 21 out of the 26 have escaped to Russia. Out of them, Russia has officially confirmed that 15 have received citizenship, and 3 were granted asylum. On 21 July 2017, Russia declined the request of Ukraine’s Prosecutor General’s office to extradite 21 suspects to Ukraine. It wasn’t the first one – the request sent in January received a similar response, only for a smaller number of Berkut officers. Meanwhile, five police officers are under trial and will be brought to justice, according to the Advocacy Advisory Panel, a coalition of lawyers working to secure justice for the victims of the Euromaidan protests and their families. Yevheniya Zakrevska, a lawyer of the Advocacy Advisory Panel, expects that they will be a verdict in 2018. The rest will be tried in absentia, similarly to ousted ex-President Yanukovych.
Conflict with Russia: Part I & Part II [Dr. Alexander Nemets] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. What’s the Book about? – Primarily, it is about the developing conflict between Russia, on one hand, and America and entire West on other hand. – The war in Eastern Ukraine is described
Evacuation from totalitarian Russia. This is how the Bubeyev family from Tver refer to their journey to Kyiv. Because of their pro-Ukrainian position, they fear for not only their freedom but their lives. Andriy served two years in prison merely for a social media post. Now, a former political prisoner of the Kremlin has come to Ukraine with his wife and child to start a new life. Two small backpacks filled with personal belongings, and a desire to live in a democratic country. This is all the family had when they fled with 5-year-old son “Ogneyar,” from the repressions of Putin’s regime. The evacuation had to be carried out in secret. Andrey Bubeyev, an engineer from the Russian city of Tver, was arrested and held for 2 years for a simple act of dissent.
Ukraine has signed a contract with American coal companies to supply more than 700,000 tons of anthracite coal to replace Russian supplies, …
KYIV — Mikheil Saakashvili, the feisty former Georgian president and ex-governor of Ukraine's Odesa region, is gathering forces in Warsaw ahead of an attempt to reenter Ukraine from Poland — …
The “polite people” label used for Russian soldiers is another manifestation of the Soviet “brotherhood of nations” myth. Larysa Masenko Russian colonialism has one feature, which was analyzed by Myroslav Shkandrij in his book Russia and Ukraine: Literature and the Discourse of Empire From Napoleonic to Postcolonial Times, 2001 (Ukrainian translation: In the empire’s embrace: Russian and Ukrainian literature of the modern age, 2004). Russia wants to be loved even when it annexes neighboring territories by force and enslaves the people that inhabit them. In the Russian society of the 19th century, there was a commonly held belief that Russian expansion was not violent and that the Russian language and the Russian state possess some unique power that make them extremely attractive to other nations. The Slavophile Mikhail Pogodin contrasted the Russian Empire, which supposedly expanded without coercion at the invitation of other nations, to the Western powers: “Our state is founded on love, and the Western one on hatred,” he claimed. The Eurasian concept of “brotherly nations” in the Russian Empire
Polish and Ukrainian defence companies have unveiled the new PT-17 main battle tank prototype during the MSPO-2017 defence exhibition. The new tank is an upgraded version of the Soviet T-72 MBT with NATO-standard ammunition. Polish Zaklady Mechaniczne “Bumar – Labedy” S.A. and Ukrainian concern “UkrOboronProm” have agreed to a deal to jointly develop upgraded versions of the T-72 main battle tank (MBT) in April 2017. For the implementation of this project, UkrOboronProm has begun integration of the best Ukrainian technological developments: it has developed and supplied autoloader, a new engine, transmission, new 120mm main gun, fire control system, a system of dynamic protection, a demonstration tower. Main purposes of modernization: Increasing firepower and fire maneuver modernization; Increasing survivability on battlefield; Increasing mobility; Increasing crew working comfort and extend mission duration. The PT-17 is equipped with a 1,000 hp power pack, which includes an S-1000R engine. The manufacturer has stated that a 1,200 hp power pack is available as an optional upgrade. The PT-17 tank is equipped with 120mm smooth-bore gun KBA-2 and autoloader for gun loading with fixed ammunition manufactured by the Ukrainian firm Kharkov Morozov Design Bureau. In order to be able to use 120mm NATO-standard fixed ammunition, the automatic loader of the gun is installed in an isolated self-contained compartment in the turret bustle. The level of armour protection of the automatic loader compartment is analogous to that of the Leopard and Abrams tanks. The total allowance of ammunition of the tank includes 40 rounds, of which 22 are positioned in the automatic loader. The PT-17 is equipped with the OBRA-3 system of laser warning receivers, which are linked to the vehicle’s smoke grenade launchers, and bar armour has been fitted over the turret bustle.
A more severe upgrade for the T-72 and PT-91 designs is the new PT-17 main battle tank. This tank is the result of a closer cooperation between a number of Polish and Ukranian companies. While the hull seems to be still largely based on last year’s PT-16’s hull, the PT-17 features a new turret compared to its predecessor. While some web-forums claim that this turret is identical to that of the T-72-120 prototype, there are several reasons to question such statements. It rather appears that some of the T-72-120 components were taken and integrated into a barebone PT-91/T-72 turret. For example the lack of roof-mounted ERA (aswell as the lack of mounting points for such armor tiles), the different shape of the add-on armor and the fact that the tank is fitted with composite armor rather than explosive reactive armor are all indicators for this not being the turret of the T-72-120 prototype. Furthermore four modules of the Obra-3 laser warning system from PCO SA are installed on the turret, which can detect the laser wavelengths commonly used in rangefinders and for laser-beam guided missiles.
During the ATO, UOP armored plants transferred 130 restored and modernized T-72 tanks to the Armed Forces of Ukraine
It fits all models of Mosin-Nagant rifles including the early ones with hexagonal receivers and doesn’t require any modifications to the rifle
Aviakon diversifies components of Russian production, modernizing Mi helicopters for the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Shepetivsky Repair Plant conducted successful acceptance tests of another batch of self-propelled artillery units 2C3 “Acacia” and 2C1 “Gvozdika”
Ukrainian Air Force structure
The so-called head of annexed Crimea, Sergey Aksyonov was an active member of the Crimean organized crime group “Salem” in the 1990s and 2000s, who only managed to avoid prison thanks to powerful patrons, as stated in an interview with the Observer news website by the first deputy head of the National Police of Ukraine, the head of the criminal police, Vyacheslav Abroskin. “In the 90’s, when I first started to work on the investigation in Crimea, the problem with organized crime came to the forefront. The gangs were engaged in racketeering, extortion, robbery… There was also a serious redistribution of business. Privatization of enterprises was taking place at the time… Many were imprisoned and quite a lot of criminals were killed as a result of a war between criminal clans for spheres of influence. By 2006, we finished off the remains of those groups in the Crimea. These were the Salem and Bashmaki gangs,” the law-enforcer reminisced.
Russia will organize a “cleansing” in the ranks of Kremlin-controlled authorities of the Crimean peninsula. Local officials will be replaced by …
Volunteers with the Ukrainian Myrotvorets project have published on Facebook the personal data of 299 people who are participating in the …
Equipment from Finland was discovered at the Kerch Bridge bridges is being built by Russia from the mainland to the annexed Crimea, PSB News …
Russia / Iran / Syria / Iraq / OEF Reports
The offensive accelerates a global scramble for control of the Islamic State’s most important remaining stronghold.
U.S.-backed Syrian militias are set to announce an operation against Islamic State in the north of Deir al-Zor province, a senior SDF official told Reuters on Friday.
The vehicles had been stuck in the desert for days after U.S. airstrikes prevented them from reaching Islamic State terrritory.
The Myanmar leader’s tepid response to the Rohingya Muslim crisis could be politically expedient, but it has altered the world’s perception of a democratic icon.
DPRK / PRC / WESTPAC Reports
Understanding Kim Jong Un, North Korea and madness.
MM: Since I started studying North Korea, in the 1980s, and made my first visit there, in 1996, my conclusion is the US has played an important role in helping the Kim family stay in power. When the outside world threatens the North, it makes the DPRK stronger. The people rally and come together to find a way to confront the threat—including the threat of sanctions. JB: Speaking of sanctions, what if the international sanctions aimed at forcing the regime to give up nuclear weapons and missiles really squeezed North Korea, cutting off fuel and trade, depriving it of the minimum it needed to survive? MM: Well, in 1941…
SEOUL/TOKYO — In light of North Korea’s latest nuclear test, its sixth and most powerful, the U.S. is pushing for new international sanctions against
Experts say Pyongyang has prepared measures to reduce the blow from new sanctions The card that the US has resorted to most in order to apply “maximum sanctions and pressure” on North Korea is a halt to its crude oil supplies. The idea is that it offers a means of last resort that would force Pyongyang to bow to pressure from the international community and agree to negotiations. For that reason, attention is now focusing on whether China, which supplies most of the North’s crude oil, will put its weight behind new sanctions. No precise figures are available on how much petroleum is consumed in North Korea each year. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated its 2016 petroleum consumption at around 740,000 tons, while Statistics Korea put the 2014 figure at around 730,000 tons. China’s crude oil exports to North Korea are reportedly on the order of 500,000 to 600,000 tons annually.
Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has prepared an executive order that would allow President Donald Trump to sanction any country that continues to trade with North Korea if the United Nations…
Less than two years after its founding on Sept. 9, 1948, North Korea invaded South Korea, starting a war in which tens of thousands of China’s soldiers died fighting on the side of its communist neighbor. In the decades since the 1953 armistice, China has relied on the country as a buffer zone between itself and US military forces in South Korea, which until the early 1990s were armed with nuclear weapons. Chinese revolutionary leader Mao Zedong used a proverb to describe North Korea’s vital importance to his country’s security—“If the lips are gone, the teeth will be cold.” Now, with its “frenemy” ever more unfriendly, China is in a quandary. As the North’s weapons tests have become more frequent, culminating in its sixth and most powerful nuclear test Sept. 3, the US has repeatedly said China has to do more to convince its leader Kim Jong-un to back off. China, meanwhile, has its own ideas about the right way to resolve matters in the Korean Peninsula—and those calculations aren’t aligned with the interests of the other countries most deeply involved in the crisis: South Korea, the United States, and Japan. It’s not that China isn’t alarmed by the latest actions of its nuclear-armed neighbor. An editorial last weekend in the state-run Global Times newspaper warned that a North Korea-China conflict would “transcend any conflict between the US and North Korea.” Just as alarming for China is the possibility of a collapse in North Korea that results in a flow of refugees into northeastern China, or a reunification of the two Koreas under a government friendly to the United States. “China does not want to see a unified Korean Peninsula with US troops there. It prefers the status quo, which means divided rule. That serves China’s geostrategic interests,” said Zhang Baohui, director of the Center for Asian Pacific Studies at Hong Kong’s Lingnan University. “Of course, the background that motivates China to think so is Sino-US strategic mistrust.” So what does China want to see?
US presses for tougher sanctions ahead of a UN meeting
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that it was too early to draw conclusions about the final form of the United Nations resolution on North Korea, Russia’s Interfax news agency quoted Lavrov as saying at a news conference on Friday.
China’s defense ministry says it’s a part of routine exercise, not against any specific country
The People’s Liberation Army was sending to a message to more than just Kim Jong-un.
The Chinese army held maneuvers near North Korea. After nuclear test in North Korea, the Chinese army conducted near North Korean territorial waters exercises in case of a sudden attack. The Ministry of defence in Beijing on Thursday, 7 September, confirmed the fact of carrying out of maneuvers, but emphasized their routine. “The exercise was conducted as part of a yearlong plan to improve the combat effectiveness of troops, and was not directed against any particular state or goal,” the report says, the Chinese defense Ministry.
A Chinese conglomerate is buying a 14 percent stake in Russian state oil giant Rosneft for $9.1 billion in a deal that furthers Russian President Vladmir Putin's stated goal of shifting energ…
A closely-held Chinese oil company agreed to buy a minority stake in Rosneft PJSC for about $9 billion, deepening energy and political ties with Russia amid increasing tensions with the U.S.
Last week, a North Korean missile flew over Japan’s northern island of Hokkaido. Normally a peaceful place known for its ski resorts, its residents are rethinking the threat.
Foreign Policy Reports
Germany rejected the demand of Poland on paying additional reparations for the damage brought to the country during the World War II, noting that this issue was settled in 1953, as German government spokesman Steffen Seiber told AFP. “Poland made a binding decision in August 1953… to relinquish demands for further war reparations,” government spokesman Steffen Seibert said, adding that in the view of Berlin, “this issue was therefore settled both legally and politically”. Seibert said that Germany had fully recognised its responsibility in World War II, while emphasising that it had also paid “considerable reparations for overall war damages” to Poland. As it was reported earlier, Poland demanded reparations from Germany for World War II damages. After that, an MP of Polish parliament said the country could demand war reparations from Russia for the Peace of Riga of 1921.
Turkey's economy minister on September 7 dismissed a case brought by U.S. prosecutors against his predecessor for allegedly taking bribes and helping Iran violate U.S. sanctions law. Zafe…
Strategy / History / Capability Publications
In the twentieth century, nuclear deterrence was generally a closed bipolar system. The two superpowers squared off in something resembling parity, most smaller nuclear powers aligned with one side or the other, and those few outlier states who charted a more independent nuclear policy were generally less concerned with great power politics and more concerned with regional power or survival. The balance of terror was frightening, but it also proved stable. Fast-forward to the twenty-first century and we find the prospect of smaller nuclear states, like North Korea, willing to engage in threats and brinksmanship with superpowers. There is certainly no prospect of mutually assured destruction between superpowers and rogue regimes; the assurance of destruction is one-directional. While contemporary deterrence looks different from its Cold War predecessor, the centrality of deterrent threats remains. However, our response to a limited-capability nuclear attack by a rogue regime would take on a new dynamic of signaling our long-term credibility in the higher-level deterrence between great powers. Nuclear war is the most extreme manifestation of war. Prussian military theorist Carl von Clausewitz postulated an irrational Absolute War in which war escaped all rational bounds and became war for its own sake, a theoretical condition not yet attained in human history, but which general nuclear war might resemble. Cold War strategist Herman Kahn classified the final rung on his escalation ladder as “Spasm or Insensate War.” Just as spacetime is deformed as it approaches the gravitational extremes of a black hole, so too does the relationship between strategy and morality become warped and distorted as it nears the extremes of nuclear war. In the case of nuclear-armed great powers, where mutually assured destruction is a distinct possibility, nuclear deterrence is built upon an exchange of immoral threats. Immoral threats are justified in order to prevent, through deterrence, immoral outcomes. As Michael Walzer, the greatest living Just War theorist, has written, “We threaten evil in order not to do it, and the doing of it would be so terrible that the threat seems in comparison to be morally defensible.” Walzer notes that “Deterrence only works . . . if each side believes that the other might actually carry out its threat.” While there is always a level of ambiguity surrounding such threats, building and maintaining the credibility of the threat is what produces the desired deterrent effect. Fortunately, the balance between ambiguity and credibility has never been tested. As Walzer notes, “for all its ghastly potential, deterrence has so far been a bloodless strategy.”
The more we learn about Russia’s interference in the 2016 election, the clearer it becomes that this was, if not quite an act of war, then certainly an …
During the summer, some new initiatives aimed at countering pro-Kremlin disinformation in Europe appeared.
Virginia on Friday agreed to stop using paperless touchscreen voting machines that had been flagged by cyber security experts as potentially vulnerable to hackers and lacking sufficient vote auditing capabilities.
Best Buy Co, the No.1 U.S. electronics retailer, is pulling Kaspersky Lab’s cyber security products from its shelves and website, amid concerns that the Moscow-based firm may be vulnerable to Russian government influence.
US Domestic Policy Reports
The Kremlin’s stealth intrusion into the American election was broader than previously believed.
Russia’s Foreign Ministry on Friday accused the Trump administration of possibly using an inspection of the Russian consulate in San Francisco to plant evidence in the building to make Russia look bad. “It looks as if the American intelligence agencies are trying to organize an anti-Russian provocation and may even plant compromising material in the building or discover them somehow in the future,” spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said, according to Russia’s state-owned news agency Tass. “Because we don’t have the foggiest idea of what they are doing now.” “Special equipment has been installed, and some works are underway,” Zakharova said. “And no one is talking about this to anyone, of course.” Zakharova said the U.S. action was only making U.S.-Russia relations even worse, and said U.S. treatment of Russia appears to be a “new American practice.” “We believe that the US is thus destabilizing not just Russian-American relations, but the global international order as well,” she said.
Russia’s new ambassador to the U.S., Anatoly Antonov, said Friday he met with President Trump in a “warm and constructive” environment, and said he hoped to help improve bilateral relations between the two countries. “I told [Trump] that we count on relations between our two countries,” Antonov told reporters Friday, according to Tass, Russia’s state-owned news agency.
WASHINGTON — Russia's new ambassador to the United States, arriving at a time of heightened tensions between the two countries, says Moscow is ready to take "concrete" steps to improv…
I got as far as the title of this article before I groaned loudly. Facebook Acknowledges Russian Ads In 2016 Election. Will Investigations Follow? In this topsy turvy post-political (meaning pure partisan chaos in reporting) era, I could see two directions in which this story was going to proceed. Russian collusion investigation, in other words,…
Facebook’s shifting Russian ads stories have damaged its credibility