Information operations · Information Warfare · North Korea

DPRK Update – 7 September 2017

Anonymous expert compilation, analysis, and reporting.

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A veritable deluge today.

Russia is playing a very very foolish game acting out as the advocate for the DPRK – China may well flip and Russia will be out there all alone, the political owner of a psychopathic problem child, literally.

Proposal for what is in effect a comprehensive blockade is sound, but requires China’s cooperation to work. The dual lane railroad across the Friendship Bridge between Russia and the DPRK is not sufficient in capacity for Putin to successfully defeat a comprehensive blockade – although he might try simply to spite the US.

A good essay by a game theorist on the game of chicken, and the DPRK, noting that Kim’s game is more like an extortion themed prisoner’s dilemma rather than chicken. Schelling’s book is online now open access. Worth noting that the ideal game outcome for Kim would be to precipitate a full scale war between China and the US, taking his two most potent enemies off the chessboard, and entrapping China into siding with the DPRK.

Multiple articles on the DPRK’s scientists, noting that the Russians are known to have helped them with the R-27 Zyb / SERB SLBM, and may have aided and abetted both nalevo and covertly in other areas, to expedite progress.

DPRK Reports

U.S. Seeks U.N. Consent to Interdict North Korean Ships – The New York Times

The measure would fall short of a full blockade of the kind used in the Cuban missile crisis, but could set the stage for conflicts at sea.

US proposes resolution to ban oil exports on North Korea, asset freeze on Kim Jong Un – CNNPolitics

The United States has proposed a resolution at the United Nations that would include broad new sanctions on North Korea and freeze the assets of leader Kim Jong Un, according to a UN diplomat.

U.N. Resolution Proposed by U.S. Would Sanction Kim, Cut Oil Supplies | Fox Business

A U.S. proposal for new United Nations sanctions against North Korea would target the country’s leader Kim Jong Un and key members of his regime with a full asset freeze and world-wide travel ban and clamp an embargo on oil and textile trade, according to a draft of the proposal.

U.N. mulls U.S. push for North Korea oil embargo, textile export ban

The United States wants the United Nations Security Council to impose an oil embargo on North Korea, ban the country’s exports of textiles and the hiring of North Korean laborers abroad, and subject leader Kim Jong Un to an asset freeze and travel ban, according to a draft resolution seen by Reuters on Wednesday.

How to squeeze North Korea – Chicago Tribune

The U.S. is right to push an oil embargo of North Korea.

Mattis, Tillerson detail North Korea strategy – CNNPolitics

President Trump’s top national security advisers detailed the administration’s strategy for dealing with North Korea in back-to-back classified briefings.

Military action with North Korea is not Trump’s ‘first choice, but we’ll see what happens’

The United States and South Korea have asked the United Nations to consider tough new sanctions on North Korea.

Putin: North Korea thinks that quitting its nuclear program would be an ‘invitation to the cemetery’

Putin warned it is “impossible to scare” North Korea on Thursday, adding that Pyongyang would always be opposed to quitting its nuclear program.

Putin Rejects Cutting Off Oil to North Korea – The New York Times

In a meeting with South Korea’s leader, Vladimir V. Putin of Russia said an oil embargo would hurt the people of North Korea more than its leadership.

Putin finds sanctions against DPRK to be meaningless, – Peskov – Putin finds sanctions against DPRK to be meaningless, – Peskov –

Putin finds sanctions against DPRK to be meaningless, – Peskov. The President of Russia Vladimir Putin confirmed his attitude that the sanctions against DPRK are meaningless during the negotiations with the South Korean leader Moon Jae-in. The speaker of the Russian President Dmitry Peskov claimed this on September 6 as TASS reported. ‘We are not the supporters of the attitude that is necessary to press Pyongyang. Conversely, it should be involved in the dialogue, the terms should be created to make Pyongyang feel safe and to search for the ways out’, Peskov noted. The DPRK announced about the successful trial of the hydrogen bomb on September 3. The order to hold the trials was made by the leader of North Korea Kim Jong-un. The DPRK confirms that the trial of the hydrogen bomb did not lead to the radiation leak or any other negative influence on the environment. The world society condemned the actions of North Korea. The President of US Donald Trump claimed that Washington considers the possibility to stop the trade relations with any country that cooperates with DPRK, despite the strengthening sanctions. Also, Trump did not exclude the use of the nuclear weapons by the US against Pyongyang.

Inside Russia’s growing role in the North Korean nuclear crisis – The Washington Post

Putin is inserting his government into the nuclear crisis in public and private, creating another headache for the Trump administration.

Japan, South Korea Urge Russia To Support Tougher Sanctions On North

The leaders of Japan and South Korea called for stronger sanctions against North Korea on visits to Russia's Vladivostok despite Russian President Vladimir Putin's warning against &quo…

Russian, Japanese Leaders To Meet In Vladivostok Amid Disagreements Over North Korea Sanctions

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is expected to urge Russia to accept the imposition of further UN sanctions on North Korea as he meets with President Vladimir Putin later on September 7. Th…

China Grows Weary of Its Unruly Neighbor North Korea – NBC News

As North Korea’s primary patron, China, is growing tired of being caught in the middle of the rogue regime’s nuclear tests and U.S. condemnation of them.

China agrees more U.N. actions needed against North Korea after nuclear test

China said on Thursday it agreed the United Nations should take more action against North Korea after its latest nuclear test, while pushing for more dialogue to resolve the crisis on the Korean peninsula.

Chinese border calm as North Korea ramps up nuclear program – The Washington Post

Rising international tensions over Pyongyang’s missile launches and nuclear tests seem a distant concern in the Chinese border city of Dandong, where trucks rumble across the bridge to North Korea and people stroll the promenade beside the Yalu River within sight of North Korean border guards.

China military holds drills in waters near Korean Peninsula | Fox News

China’s defense ministry says it has carried out drills in waters near the Korean Peninsula amid tensions over Pyongyang’s most recent nuclear test.

China’s Military Trains for ‘Surprise Attack’ Days After North Korea’s Most Powerful Nuclear Test

Chinese soldiers were rushed to the country’s northeastern coast to fire missiles and machine guns designed to blast enemy planes out of the air.

George Mitchell: Here’s why we can’t look to China on North Korea

Mitchell says China’s “long-term interests are the exact opposite of ours.”

Michael Morell | North Korea may already be able to launch a nuclear attack on the U.S. – The Washington Post

Underestimating Pyongyang’s capability could be a mistake of devastating proportions.

Korea Nuclear Test Furthers EMP Bomb

North Korea for the first time this week revealed plans for using its nuclear arms for space-based electronics-disrupting EMP attacks.

US adds launchers to THAAD as dozens hurt in SKorea protests – The Washington Post

Dozens of people were injured in clashes between South Korean protesters and police Thursday as the U.S. military added more launchers to the high-tech missile-defense system it installed in a southern town to better cope with North Korean threats.

South Korea: Deployment of THAAD missile defense system completed – CNN

South Korea says it expects another North Korea intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) launch “on September 9,” according to the country’s Prime Minister Lee Nak-yon.

THAAD system deployment completed: S. Korea

South Korea’s defense ministry announced Thursday the deployment of a THAAD missile defense system has been completed in a “tentative” step to counter urgent threats from North Korea.The announcement came soon after the US Forces Korea (USFK) transported four additional THAAD rocket launchers into its new base in Seongju, some 300 kilometers south of Seoul, despite fierce protests by local residents and activists. Th…

South Korea deploys anti-missile system as U.S. seeks tough North Korea sanctions

South Korean protesters clashed with thousands of police over the deployment of a defence system aimed at countering North Korean missile attacks, while China and the United States discussed options to rein in Pyongyang.

How To Win A Nuclear Standoff | FiveThirtyEight

President Trump and Kim Jong Un’s saber-rattling is dangerous, but not irrational.

Chicken (game) – Wikipedia

Brinkmanship – Wikipedia

Rationalist Explanations for War on JSTOR

Realist and other scholars commonly hold that rationally led states can and sometimes do fight when no peaceful bargains exist that both would prefer to war. Ag…

North Korea Nuclear Crisis: Trump Threatens War — but What Kind? | National Review

Trump threatens war with North Korea, but what kind? Nuclear? Note: Congress has constitutional powers regarding war …

What Would War with North Korea Look Like? | The New Yorker

Robin Wright on how U.S. military experts believe a potential military conflict with North Korea would play out.

A Preemptive Strike on North Korea Could Be Disastrous. Here’s Why. | The National Interest Blog

Before anything happens in Korea, we should be aware of speculative long-term strategic implications.

America Must Manage North Korea, Not Destroy It | The National Interest Blog

News flash: Pyongyang and its nuclear missiles are here to stay.

North Korea Hydrogen Bomb: Kim Jong-un Doesn’t Want Nuclear War |

Sharon Squassoni, director of the Proliferation Prevention Program at the Center for Strategic &amp; International Studies, explains.

Has the U.S. actually succeeded with North Korea? A top admiral says so. – The Washington Post

Meanwhile, Russia calls for dialogue, not sanctions, to address Pyongyang’s nuclear weapons program.

How North Korea’s Nuclear Tests Could Get Even More Terrifying : Parallels : NPR

North Korea has so far tested its missiles and its nukes separately. But some experts worry Pyongyang may decide to put the two together into a single test.

H-bomb or not, experts say North Korea near its nuclear goal – The Washington Post

North Korea’s latest nuclear test was part theater, part propaganda and maybe even part fake. But experts say it was also a major display of something very real: Pyongyang’s mastery of much of the know-how it needs to reach its goal of becoming a full-fledged nuclear state.

How Did North Korea’s Weapons Tech Get So Good So Fast? – The Atlantic

“They’ve been systematically underrated for years.”

Behind North Korea’s Nuclear Advance: Scientists Who Bring Technology Home – WSJ

Pyongyang’s recent weapons tests are a reminder of a conundrum: How has the nation advanced in arms despite international efforts to keep expertise out of its hands? The answer may lie in students it sends abroad.

These are the scientists behind North Korea’s nuclear weapons programme bringing country to brink of war – Mirror Online

Ri Hong Sop and Hong Sung Mu were pictured standing alongside leader Kim Jong Un ahead of the latest horrifying weapons test at the weekend

The Aviationist » These Aircraft Sampled Air For Radioactive Particles To Determine If North Korea Actually Detonated A Hydrogen Bomb

No traces of radioactive materials, including xenon gas, were detected following North Korea’s latest nuclear test. Here are the aircraft that helped determining that. On Sunday Aug. 3, North Korea conducted its sixth and most powerful nuclear test. According to Pyongyang the test involved a hydrogen bomb that can be loaded onto a long-range missile. The test was anticipated and observed by different intelligence gathering platforms, including U.S. spyplanes launched from Japan and South Korea, whereas air-sampling equipment installed on planes, ships and land radiation detection stations was used to look for any traces of radionuclides released after the nuclear test. South Korea’s nuclear safety agency said it has detected no traces of radioactive materials, including xenon gas, following North Korea’s latest nuclear test: South Korea’s background radiation currently remains at the usual level of 50-300 nanosieverts per hour, apparently unaffected by the North’s nuclear test, Yonhap News Agency reported. Interestingly the air sampling activity was carried out by at least two type of aircraft. First of all, the quite famous WC-135 Constant Phoenix “nuclear sniffer”. The WC-135C 62-3582 was tracked as it crossed the Pacific to forward deploy to Kadena, Okinawa, from where it has alsways operated in the last months.

South Korean Influence Shrinks With North Korean Threat

As North Korea continues to test nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, the South Korean government has tried to lower tensions in the area. This has led to problems with both the United States and China.

Video: Podcast: U.S. Out of Easy Options in North Korea | Defense content from Aviation Week

The U.S. is sending visible signals of military strength to the Pacific, as North Korea continues testing missiles and weapons of mass destruction.

North Korean nuclear threat monitored by team at Patrick Air Force Base

A global network of 3,600 sensors is monitored around the clock by the Air Force Technical Applications Center, headquartered at Patrick AFB.

6 Surprising Things You Didn’t Know About North Korea

As the U.S. bans its travelers from visiting and tensions mount, curiosity about what life is like there has increased.