Anonymous expert analysis.
Bottom line: Russia fail.
Two curveballs being thrown simultaneously. Putin shakeup. Donbass/Crimea buildup. I don’t believe the experience is in this new batch of Putin appointees to oversee a “war”, buildup portends later attacks. Probable, possible, likely, delayed – anyone’s guess, that’s how Russia likes it. Which contributes to Russia’s precipitous fall in reputation.
The Crimea play did not sell in the West, other than with the dumbest of regurgitators in the mass media camp. Spending 2.5 years spinning unbelievable yarns and telling simple lies has produced great scepticism in the West. If Surkov et al expected otherwise, they were kidding themselves. Notable that this false flag operation is happening while Putin is quietly sacking his most loyal and oldest associates in the bureaucracy, suggesting this may be little more than a media stunt for domestic consumption. But the latter could also be a deception / distraction to cover for another offensive.
Disturbing reports of blinding injuries to Ukrainian border guards, caused by anti-personnel laser weapons.
Steinmeier may well be living in an alternate reality.
Russia vs. Ukraine: Putin’s bloodiest battlegroundOVERNIGHT in Donetsk, Ukraine, heavy artillery rains down from the sky.
Crimea tension: What is Russia’s end game? – BBC News Tensions between Russia and Ukraine are rising again over Crimea. But what is in it for Moscow?Russia May Be Preparing New Offensive in Ukraine After a summer of escalating violence, tensions in the region are now the highest they’ve been since Putin annexed Crimea in 2014.:
Russian occupants use prohibited laser weapons in Donbas, – Head of State Border Guard Service Nazarenko 13.08.16 17:43 – Russian occupants use prohibited laser weapons in Donbas, – Head of State Border Guard Service Nazarenko Russian occupants used banned weapons against the Ukrainian military in the Donbas. View news.
Belarus Air and Air Defense Force enhances their combat skills | Defence blog
Parsing Russia’s Tough Talk on Ukraine | International Crisis GroupMoscow’s current outburst, a combination of verbal aggression and military caution, may indicate that it is unsure what to do.
Vitaliy Portnikov | Why Russia will threaten Ukraine even after Putin -Euromaidan Press |Are the difficulties in Russia’s relations with Ukraine really due to the personalities of the presidents? Nadiya Savchenko, in an interview with the BBC, stated that “if Putin and Poroshenko were removed, then relations could be normalized but only under those two conditions.” It is true that she later specified that it would be better to remove Putin first, but that in any case, “the old politicians must be removed.” It is difficult to argue with the second thesis. The renewal of the political elite is necessary in Ukraine, in Russia, in all the countries of the former Soviet Union. At the same time, the renewal must be radical and can occur only with successful economic transformations and the emergence of committed owners. If we succeed, in 10-15 years we will have a new elite — not in terms of personalities and age but in terms of quality and value. And this is determined not by youth and biography but by the understanding of strategic objectives.
Document suggests “terror shootout” in Crimea internal Russian conflict -Euromaidan Press |Five people accused of a serious crime in the city of Armiansk are “dressed in camouflage uniforms bearing chevrons with the Russian Federation flag.”
A timeline of Russia’s Crimean “terror” games | Infographics -Euromaidan Press |The Russian Federation has accused Ukraine of staging “terror attacks” in occupied Crimea, is drawing military hardware to the border to mainland Ukraine, and has announced Russia is dropping out of the Minsk negotiations. Meanwhile, Ukrainian authorities accuse Russia of a staged plot. Events have been moving fast, and we have gathered the main events for your convenience in one timeline.
The Daily Vertical: Another Kremlin Tale Unravels (Transcript)The Daily Vertical is a video primer for Russia-watchers that appears Monday through Friday.
Crimea Terror Allegations: Yevhen Panov arrested by Russia’s FSB crossed into Crimea on his own – Ukrainian intelligence (video)Ukraine TodayUkraine Blames International Response to Georgia Crisis for Russian InterventionInternational community was “not tough enough” on Moscow.
Germany expects investigation into Crimean events – SteinmeierGerman Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier has said Germany expects Russia and Ukraine to investigate the recent incident in Crimea, according to Russian news agency TASS. News 15 August from UNIAN.
Germany’s Steinmeier Says No ‘Standoff’ In Relations With RussiaGerman Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier said there is no “standoff” in relations between Russia and the West, predicting improved relations between Moscow and Berlin in the coming years.“
We have proposals which can help improve the security situation in Ukraine,” – Steinmeier15.08.16 11:15 – We have proposals which can help improve the security situation in Ukraine, – Steinmeier German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier says there are new ideas as to how to improve the security situation in the Donbas. View news.
Poroshenko, Merkel, Hollande to discuss situation in Crimea and Putin’s statements, – Klympush-Tsyntsadze15.08.16 12:26 – Poroshenko, Merkel, Hollande to discuss situation in Crimea and Putin’s statements, – Klympush-Tsyntsadze Tomorrow, President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko is going to have a phone talk with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande. View news.
Publicity needed to prevent torture of Ukrainians detained in “Crimea saboteurs” case -Euromaidan Press |Kidnapping and false charges of “terrorist activities” is a basic FSB method, reminds Euromaidan SOS